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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. 18z GEFS will be interesting. if they all try to bend back west then maybe the GFS is onto something.
  2. Naw. Worst case scenario for the Mid Atlantic would be a stalled front for a week that saturates the ground then you get a Cat 2 or 3 into Norfolk that slowly turns right to Philly over the course of two days.
  3. Looksike a line trying to get its act together for you. Towers shooting up just to my north.
  4. Same here. We've been trying to fertilize and water where we can for a last burst of color to help the pollinators out, but it looks like too little too late.
  5. Looks like the Carroll County storms threw an outflow boundary southward into the southerly flow. Might fire something else off. CAMs will always handle these setups poorly. Almost always a nowcasting thing.
  6. Nudge it west by 75 miles snd slow it down a bit more please.
  7. Just get me climo and no major torches (60 degrees plus for days on end). That's all I'm asking. Anything more is gravy.
  8. Perhaps, but I'd put money on it being classic summertime mesoscale precipitation. A few feasts with a lot of famine.
  9. Hope we can continue this for a few more days. Fronts stalled north to south can be really beneficial here.
  10. Special event contingency planning is the bane for local emergency management. Concert organizers refuse to engage and go off into left field in the name of profit. That's not to say that we should bubble wrap everything and cancel at the drop of a shower, but I agree that this appears to be a complete cluster.
  11. M0.18" today, M0.83" yesterday. Lawns aren't corn chex crispy anymore.
  12. Looks like that activity south of DC was enhanced by the outflow boundary from the initial activity over DC. I wouldn't be surprised to see it collapse over the next hour.
  13. LWX starting to issue Flash Flood Warnings.
  14. 19z HRRR should be interesting. By then it should be able to have this activity ingested and modeled better.
  15. WPC meso disco: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=1046&yr=2023
  16. SPC issues SEVERE TSTM WATCH until 11pm
  17. M0.83" overnight. RSTM2 COOP station in Reisterstown.
  18. Decent wind signature on the Howard County cell. Might see that warned shortly.
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