Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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First sub 60 degree low of the autumn.
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Nice moisture plume on the NAM...slow this thing down a bit and everyone wins.
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What's climo like during weakening La Nina winters? I can live with low snow, just don't want to torch.
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Wonder how much further NW the mix line will be this winter from that warmer sea water.
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Seems like this activity might be from a little vort max moving NW -> SE. Looks like a mini swirl over the Frederick / Washington County line.
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CAMs appear to have the activity swing down through Loudoun County / WV Panhandle between now and 20z. Wouldn't surprise me to see the watch expanded further south a county or two.
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Catoctin Mts. look primed for some heavy rain. WPC disco is pretty intriguing fore terrain induced flooding this afternoon into evening.
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Summer max contest -- final results posted
Eskimo Joe replied to Roger Smith's topic in Mid Atlantic
So how are we looking rankings-wise? -
No? I'm glad it rained, but it would've been nice to see more folks cash in.
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Has about 30 min of decent rain around 7pm. Otherwise a whole lot of nada.
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^We're on the wrong side of the front. All the efficient rain making processes are up in PA.
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CAMs putting all their money into a 3 - 6 hours period of rain after beginning around midnight - 2:00 am Tuesday. Been watering my lawn all day so maybe I'll tick off the rain gods. EDIT: 18z NAM is ugly. Less than 0.3" rain south and east of I-81. If this were winter people would be screaming.
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Went up into New England. Massachusetts stole our hydrometeors.
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18z RAP/HRRR have trended wetter for the Mason-Dixon counties and Catoctin Mts....looks to be about the same elsewhere.
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Broke out the sprinkler for the lawn. Got patches of blue sky now.
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Yea 00z Euro is probably the best case scenario for everyone. At least an inch of rain from I-66 to the New York line. Would help a lot of watersheds.
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Tomorrow is looking wet north of the PA turnpike.
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It's going to rain, but I'm having a hard time seeing us getting more than an inch.
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Yea, not looking too good. Hope I'm wrong and we get the goods.
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Looks like the heaviest rain will be north of the PA border. Probably less than an inch for everyone.
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Running well ahead of what the GFS has for us. Gonna really need rates tomorrow to cool the column.
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Yes 18z GFS is good. Let's hope this holds. Would really like to see 1.5" - 3" regionwide over 36 hours. Even the reservoirs in Baltimore, Howard, and Montgomery counties are getting low.
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Let's see what it says this time tomorrow. We've been burned before by the Euro this summer.
