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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Ian's appearance on satellite looks to be improving.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    IMO, better to keep it as a Cat 2 leading up to landfall and up the forecast instead of yanking it back.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Classic gulf storm. West trend.
  4. Eskimo Joe
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Low of 47. Feels great outside today.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Not liking the trends today. Looks like Ian might miss the trough and rot in the gulf.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    ^you can see the outflow starting to get established based off the cirrus wisping out to the west and southwest.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Someone on WxTwitter (perhaps it was @Ellinwood or @Ian) had linked to a history of all the "I" storms and their tracks. Can't find it, but it was rather neat.
  9. Eskimo Joe
  10. Eskimo Joe
    People are dumb.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    That's a great infographic. Where did you get this from?
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Appears so. 00z hurricane models look promising as well.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like the hurricane models have a second landfall in the Carolinas then bend Ian back into the Mid Altantic.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    18z Euro is more favorable to us.
  15. Eskimo Joe
  16. Eskimo Joe
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Euro is
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Agreed. That definitely helps NWP with the mid latitude features that will eventually pick TD9 up and thrust it into the CONUS. Would even go so far as to saw that once this system makes the turn north, we'll probably have a pretty good idea on timing, intensity, and speed.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Very interested to see what the 12z GEFS has to say, especially for inland folks.
  20. Eskimo Joe
  21. Eskimo Joe
    HR 210 on 12z GFS...remnant center near State College PA. SLP down to 990mb. Decent precip shield on NW side of low.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    HR 204 on 12z GFS...remnant center just south of Pittsburgh.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    HR 192 on 12z GFS has remnants in NE Georgia about to cross into S. Carolina. Mod/heavy rainfall along Smoky Mts. Precip up to DCA...should be noted there's a large SE fetch on the eastern side of the system which would probably supported the potential for widespread moderate rainfall along Southeast/lower Mid Atlantic states.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    HR 174/180 on 12z GFS shows potential for Maddox Predecessor Rainfall Event (PRE) along coastal South Carolina.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    12z GFS with landfall around 990mb 18z Friday, 9/30 in the Taylor/Dixie/Jefferson county area.
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