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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Ian Cat 2 based off the 5pm advisory from NHC.
  3. Eskimo Joe
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Ian's satellite presentation is looking better over the past couple of hours.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    From what I've been told, HMON/HWRF is not the best to use for intensity until the center of circulation has been established.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Not to my knowledge. You are better off ignoring the NAM3k for tropical.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Friendly reminder as we slowly draw closer to the shorter/mid range models:
  8. Eskimo Joe
  9. Eskimo Joe
    11am Public Advisory 11am Technical Discussion notes the expanded wind field and thus the Tropical Storm Warning is expanded.
  10. Eskimo Joe
  11. Eskimo Joe
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Some are x4 daily
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Classic Mid Atlantic fail.
  14. Eskimo Joe
  15. Eskimo Joe
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Don't sleep on the inland freshwater rain threat with this system. Looks like possible big totals for the Carolinas up into Central Virginia.
  17. Eskimo Joe
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Tampa Bay area is well zoned for evacuations. They typically don't start before D2. The powers that be know what needs to be done.
  19. Eskimo Joe
  20. Eskimo Joe
    IIRC, Ivan in 2004 has more tornadoes in this area than Isaias did.
  21. Eskimo Joe
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Today has all the hallmarks of being a sneaky overperformer in the severe wind/hail category. Some impressive wind in LWX radar with that line coming out of WV.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Ian's appearance on satellite looks to be improving.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    IMO, better to keep it as a Cat 2 leading up to landfall and up the forecast instead of yanking it back.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Classic gulf storm. West trend.
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