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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    River wind will deny it today, IMO. I hope I'm wrong. I want 100.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Leesburg ASOS gusted to M51mph. The core of the wind passed just south of there. Given that Martinsburg ASOS gusted to M69mph earlier in the afternoon and there was ample DCAPE, it's entirely possible portions of Leesburg got 60 to 65 mph winds.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Preliminary GIS analysis shows that LWX verified 90% (9/10) of the severe thunderstorm warnings issued today. We're fortunate to have excellent mets there, as well as several terminal Doppler radars for additional storm interrogation.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Time sensitive but loop the 0.5 degree base velocity from TDCA. Classic wet mircoburst signature.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Boom. Storms firing in Frederick County off the Catoctin Mts.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Leesburg ASOS just gust to M51mph
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Winchester ASOS just gusted to M69 mph.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Time sensitive! Pull up TIAD radar and look at lowest base velocity scan. Sick downburst over western Montgomery/Southern Frederick Counties!
  9. Eskimo Joe
    These storms are definitely struggling to maintain themselves once they roll off the terrain. That cap must not be fully eroded.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like that lead warned cell is generating a bit of a cold pool? More stuff firing along and behind it. HRRR alluded to this earlier today.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Cell approaching Harper's Ferry, WV just got warned. Solid hail core developing and tops shooting up. Might have broken through the cap.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    SPC issues Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 03:00 UTC
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Some insane DCAPE and LL Lapse rates. If anything can punch through this cap, it's going to take off.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    I'll go on the record and say that if we didn't have clouds today, DCA and even IAD would probably have hit 100 degrees.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Or clouds. Or both.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Clouds and wind. Heck of a way to run a heat wave.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Big heat doesn't go quietly into the night.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    The year without a summer in DC and Baltimore.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Welcome to convection season. Without a regionwide trigger, it's few who feast while many suffer through famine.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    @Kmlwxdefinitely can see a westward moving outflow boundary from the first round of convection. Hopefully this can act as a mechanism for more storms later but I'm really pessimistic about it.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Don't think today is our day W of I-95.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    I truly hope this cooler summer is a sign that we are going to experience some sustained blocking this winter. It would be pretty terrible, but on brand, to see us flip to some raging +NAO and hostile PNA/QBO state this winter.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Bring it
  24. Eskimo Joe
    M1.3" Reisterstown in under an hour. Too much to fast.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like the best instability will be from NE suburbs of DC into Baltimore and PA. New severe thunderstorm watch for PA until 5:00 am Fri, 7/21.
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