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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Looks like latest recon may have found cat 5 winds in Ian.
  2. ProTip: turn the smoothing off. You'll see the finer features better.
  3. Watch the sun rise on Ian here: https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/basicLooper.pl?category=goeseastabimesoscale1&regex=00p64um&title=GOES-East ABI Mesoscale 1 - 0.64 um - Band 2&time_drop=show
  4. Morning visible satellite should be a stunner. Ian sure is living up to the 'I' storm reputation so far.
  5. Looking like the 2nd landfall is becoming a real possibility.
  6. Unless that's contaminated, looks like Ian is trying for Cat4
  7. Couple of trends with the 00z/12z guidance today: 1.) Big rainfall totals for Florida up into Carolinas 2.) Ian maintains or strengthens up until first US landfall 3.) Ian may emerge back over SE Atlantic Ocean then make 2nd landfall in GA or SC. 4.) Moderate flooding impacts possible up into southern VA this weekend.
  8. KNHC issues Vortex Data Message: 951 URNT12 KNHC 271749 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092022 A. 27/17:07:10Z B. 23.36 DEG N 083.38 DEG W C. 700 MB 2713 M D. 957 MB E. 115 DEG 21 KT F. CLOSED G. C18 H. 101 KT I. 059 DEG 6 NM 17:05:00Z J. 146 DEG 101 KT K. 052 DEG 9 NM 17:04:00Z L. 96 KT M. 105 DEG 9 NM 17:11:00Z N. 199 DEG 109 KT O. 102 DEG 11 NM 17:11:30Z P. 9 C / 3056 M Q. 18 C / 3038 M R. 10 C / NA S. 12345 / 07 T. 0.02 / 1.25 NM U. AF302 2109A IAN OB 25 MAX FL WIND 109 KT 102 / 11 NM 17:11:30Z
  9. Ian's eye clearing out quickly on visible satellite: https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/basicLooper.pl?category=goeseastabimesoscale1&regex=00p64um&title=GOES-East ABI Mesoscale 1 - 0.64 um - Band 2&time_drop=show
  10. 1st US landfall: Venice, FL, 135 mph winds. 2nd US landfall: Charleston, SC, 90 mph.
  11. Developers got their way. Post Andrew, there was a building standard developed called the Miami-Dade Standard. It was designed to make residential and commercial structures more hurricane resilient. It began to take hold in Florida, but then the building association lobby got into the state legislature and killed it. Otherwise, it would have probably saved millions in Federal disaster reimbursement costs over the past 20 years.
  12. We truly live in a golden age of remote sensing and data archival.
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