Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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Can't panic if you expect total failure from the get go.
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Plot Twist: We get a 75 degree midnight high followed by warning level snow behind an artic front later in the day.
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As @wxmeddler mentioned, it's a team effort. We've had a lot of success partnering with organizations like volunteer fire departments, schools, and parks. This infrastructure is easily deployed and folks can realize a tangible benefit almost immediately.
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Only the op GFS and Euro erode the west coast ridge in the long run it seems. Evening else, even the EPS and GEFS, maintain or reinforce the -EPO.
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Did someone say trains?
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Light snow Reisterstown. Temp 37 and falling. The Dec 5th rule lives on!
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Sadly, yes. Wouldn't shock me if we all spike in the 70s for DCA.
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^ Looks like a widespread 3 to 5 degrees below average. Nice.
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Don't look now, but the NAM wants snow squalls on Thursday morning from US 50 west.
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IIRC, Phase 7, 8, and 1 are our money phases.
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To illustrate the turbulence in the long range, the operational GFS trended between 10 and 18 degrees colder from 12z to 18z today for the Dec 10th event.
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Optimism? What did you do to the real Ji?
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I can absolutely understand the anxiety in the annual winter long range threads. Each year our window for any sensible winter gets smaller and smaller it seems.
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Last winter we were pulling ticks off our horse in January. Went back and looks at the data from my cooperative site and noticed we hit the mid 70s. . .
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Low of 22°. The four inch soil temperatures have really cooled off. Out petunias finally died with this freeze.
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Yup. All hail The King™ of snow storms.
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This is also mentioned in the Northeast Snowstorms books by Kocin and Uccellini. Some of our biggest "surprise" winter events were not detected until we got inside D4.
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Agreed. I wish operational guidance would stop at Day 7. Too much extrapolation beyond that. Let the ensembles take over after that.
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Wonder if the long range stuff is models reverting back to climo state? We saw that last year where beyond D10 guidance kept trying to advertise a solid pattern that never materialized.
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If we're not in the 50s on Christmas this year I'll consider it a miracle. Christmas 2015 we had Praying Mantis out and daffodils coming up.
