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Eskimo Joe

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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Both the NAM and GFS have some insane frontogenetic forcing with this fropa tomorrow. Probably going to see a few snow squall warnings as this thing rips through.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    The Feb 2006 storm was indeed a thread-the-needle event. I was at Millersville at the time and remember we scored a few narrow hits that left DC with rain. For the Feb 2006 event, we were supposed to be cloudy with a midday start time, but we woke up to full sun and temps in the mid 30s. Thankfully we narrowly lucked out up there, but I agree, today that storm would be a cold rain. Our climate is broken.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Oof. That is a real "shut the blinds, winter is over" kind of pattern. Really, really hope that is wrong.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Euro would imply brief front end frozen threat similar to the 12z CMC/GFS. Right around sunrise Thursday.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Check out the 850 winds at hr 78 on the Euro, 12z Friday. Looks like most of us are in a left exit region of the jet. Would at least support some decent snow showers or maybe even a period of light snow. By HR84, 18z Fri, there's another wind maxima over Baltimore metro, would aid in cold air advection and make for a pretty nasty afternoon. Heck, by 00z Sat, the Euro wants to bring low end High Wind Warning criteria gusts to the Mason-Dixon counties.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    "Windy with scattered snow showers. Accumulations an inch or less." Seems like a decent forecast.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    12z CMC has trended somewhat colder at the onset of the event Friday. Would imply some front end frozen north of I-70.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Add some debris lake effect clouds and it's entirely possible BWI and IAD get a -20 depature day.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    GFS is rather nuts...takes the main storm at the OH/MI border from 991mb at 06z Friday, to sub 960 mb in Quebec at 00z Saturday.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Would imply at least snow showers. Pretty impressive pressure falls too! Would imply some really windy conditions Friday.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    850/925 mb winds would imply some kind of low topped squall line Friday midday, no?
  12. Eskimo Joe
    DCA: SBY:
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Uh, wut?
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Desperate, excited? What's a word between friends?
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Even by Tony Pann standards that's bad.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Where do I sign?
  17. Eskimo Joe
    According to my Tempest, we were stuck in the upper 30s until about 3am when the cloud deck broke. Got down to 33.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    The best part of that run is that BOS got completely screwed.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Warning level event from RIC to BOS, with solid cold behind it. Yes please.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Snowfall for DCA, BWI, and IAD from 00z from this one event would meet or exceed the climo for the entire month of December. Where do I sign?
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Way, way too early to look at the NAM.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    West coast ridge is better on the 12z GEFS. This is good to see.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Just cover the grass for Christmas. That's all I'm asking for.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Agreed. It does seem that when there is a northern stream dominant event, the newer GFS does seem to latch onto things quicker than the CMC and Euro. I am wondering if it is getting better assimilation of data from North America?
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Really quite excited to see what the GEFS has to say in a bit.
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