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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Looks like the warm front has been shoved south a bit. I'm thinking locations south of US 50 are probably better placed for afternoon convection?
  2. Only about half an inch of rain from the western mesonet sites. Good for soils and denting the drought.
  3. HRRR and GFS try to paint that as well.
  4. For your sake, I agree. The four inch soil moisture numbers show the winners and losers from the past several days.
  5. Those VWC number are money. Rock Creek is currently experiencing some flooding near the beltway. We've close down Beach Driver between Connecticut Ave & Stoneybrook Dr. Looks like 1.5" - 2.2" from Potomac to Layhill overnight.
  6. This point will need to be hammered home with the public. We're already fielding questions at work, on a weekend, about why there's water restrictions with "all this rain we've had recently".
  7. Lanternflies and Tree of Heaven come from the same Geography.
  8. Enjoy your 35 and driving rain this winter.
  9. Wow Keedysville mesonet site is on pace to break 2" of rain today. 18z HRRR has another 1" - 2.5" from I-70 north through noon Sunday.
  10. Keedysville mesonet site up to 1" already for today.
  11. I think that outflow boundary stalled our just west of I-95 in Maryland. It may be enough to organize what litter instability is left.
  12. With the outflow boundary out racing a lot of the convection, this has probably ended any scattered or widespread risk for wind damage. Looks more like generic thunderstorms for the rest of the evening.
  13. Yup. My 5pm Gaithersburg to Reisterstown drive should be long.
  14. Several LSRs out of Frederick County, MD. Looks like they were the "winners" today.
  15. If I recall correctly, the HRRR initializes off radar? Can @Ellinwood, @wxmeddler, @MillvilleWx, @wxmvpete or someone else confirm?
  16. Classic wet microburst signature on the Loudoun County cell.
  17. Outflow boundary hit the cells near Charles Town. Things really popping off quickly in the pan handle.
  18. Looks like the Greencastle storm died, threw an outflow boundary south into Maryland, and it's about to crest the Catoctin Mts. Wonder if that's what kicks off the activity in the lee of the mountains and northwest suburbs this afternoon?
  19. New Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued from Cecil/Kent counties northeast into Philadelphia.
  20. Latest SPC mesoanalysis has an axis of ~2,500 SBCAPE in southern PA. Wonder if the southern edge of that enhanced CAPE might act as a boundary for the northern and western crew later?
  21. Yup. That is the cell I was referring to. Would love to be up in Cascade, MD looking at this from their overlook. One of the prettiest places I've every been.
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