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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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Almost an inch of rain and we got concrete poured with some creative tenting. Double win.
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Solid downpour running from IAD to Vienna
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Hope you get a soaking rain. Everyone needs it.
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Maryland airmass isn't overturned yet. Might be some decent elevated convection?
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The rainfall across Southern MD is great. Some of the mesonet sites down there are essentially hard pan.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Downburst evident on the terminal radars.- 867 replies
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Finally get field work, including concrete and trench digging schedule for tomorrow and it decides to rain.
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Not to be a deb, but this doesn't look as impressive on the severe side as it did a few days ago. Definitely a chance for multiple rounds of thunderstorms today, but the overall spatial coverage and helicity seem to have backed off.
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Doesn't seem like a real favorable environment for tornadoes tomorrow. Recent HRRR and 00z NAM trying for more low end straight line risk.
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Just keep it dry until 2 pm.
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00z HRRR is wetter for many, but no severe. I'll take it.
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Just give me until Tuesday evening. Got field work on Monday and pouring concrete on Tuesday.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
12z and 18z NAM looked decent but the 00z NAM is dry and boring as burnt toast.- 867 replies
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Not event wet under the trees in Gaithersburg.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
June 13, 2013 comes to mind. Granted that was a Day 2 MOD, but the morning convection blew through and dropped a surface boundary that fire up the Leesburg to Rockville to College Park tornado.- 867 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
AI will not remove the forecasters. I can't even get a Comcast AI bot to schedule a service appointment, there's no way an AI person will replace a forecaster at a WFO when I need help.- 867 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looks like elevated convection at best. Yup. We at least need the rain. Would be surprised if we actually get into the mid 90s like previously forecast.- 867 replies
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Wow where was that look for the past several winters?
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Watch that be the biggest tornado of the day.
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Local law enforcement reports the Audrain County storm in MO may be producing a funnel cloud near state road 15.
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Wasn't there someone in this thread earlier that was lamenting Wisconsin getting shafted again?
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Agreed. The Euro and GFS AI models seem to be proficient at picking what systems will spin up and when. I'm very much excited about that.- 867 replies
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Don't look now, but the HRRR looks like it's trying for at least some storms tomorrow.- 867 replies
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Got an emergency management confirmed tornado on the Logan County, IL cell. Also an LSR for a funnel cloud captured on a sky cam.
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Looks like things are about to kick off.
