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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    75°+ dews will do that!
  2. Eskimo Joe
    M1.8" Clear Spring mesonet site.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Same. Seems like we need Above Normal in Alaska for central and especially eastern CONUS to get Below Normal.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Infrastructure Week!
  5. Eskimo Joe
    .CHO storms go brrr
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Where are you located if you don't mind me asking?
  7. Eskimo Joe
    This line is booking east. Latest warnings from Sterling have movement at 50 mph.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Also a heavy precip disco for our far western posters:
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Definitely looking like a non zero tornado threat west of US 15 this evening. Mesoanalysis and mesonet data showing some nice backing of winds and surge in dews.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Per SPC mesoanalysis, there's a pretty solid are of instability cresting the Allegheny Front.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Use NAM MOS and HRRR together and you knew when the flip from SN -> IP -> RA would occur 90% of the time. That combination consistently schooled the GFS and Euro inside 30 hrs.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Latest HRRR puts a legit bow through Frederick/Loudoun/Montgomery/Carroll counties right at sunset.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Not sure if this is better off in the ENSO threat or here, but what are the telltale signs that an El Nino or La Nina are coupling with the atmosphere?
  14. Eskimo Joe
    The Canadian tries to paint a 2" - 3.5" stripe of rainfall right along Mason-Dixon tomorrow afternoon. South of I-70 is less than an inch.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    That's a recipe for someone to get soaked.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    18z HRRR lights up NOVA with 3" - 5" of rain tomorrow
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Question for the mets/long range folks. When would we expect to see such a large/powerful El Nino begin to couple with the atmosphere? Wouldn't that yield more precipitation events in this neck of the wood by now since it's so robust?
  18. Eskimo Joe
    12z HRRR had a general 1" - 2" regionwide, with a narrow strip of 3" - 4" near Laurel.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Just keep it hot and humid until Sept 12th, when I get back from the beach. Then we can cool off for good.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    They're all in Morgan Run on the trees
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Getting all you snow in 24 hours and have it melt off in two days would be heart breaking.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    There was one winter recently that JB went warm and snowless. That was a sign you knew something bad was coming because not even JB could find a path to victory.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Shocker
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Yes. There are numerous mesoscale boundaries at play in Maryland. Monday's setup also had additional difficulties from the AM convection laying down race tracks right over Baltimore. The TBWI and TADW picked up on those which were being overshot by Dover and Sterling radars.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    The video from Hopkins Bayview and the TBWI radar was rather convincing. QLCS environment + bay/harbor boundary was a perfect setup for spin ups.
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