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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    00z HRRR is legit. Several pre-frontal mini supercells then a solid squall line.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Yea for better or worse, if we go D2 MOD it's probably best to make a thread. We only average a mod risk once every couple of years.
  3. Eskimo Joe
  4. Eskimo Joe
    GFS, RAP, and NAM slow the front down a bit and push it through during peak heating now.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    That's for the Day 1 midday update when we're socked in with fog and still in the 40s.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Afternoon, IMO.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Yea were probably going to get a 2 MOD. Classic kiss of death.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Feb 7, 2020.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    We'll see. I would favor DC and points south for torandoes, maybe some rogue QLCS thingy in MD through Central PA.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    70 - 125 kt shear on a neutral to negatively tilted trough in March is a recipe for a decent event.
  11. Eskimo Joe
  12. Eskimo Joe
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Oh
  14. Eskimo Joe
  15. Eskimo Joe
    MOD risk or bust
  16. Eskimo Joe
  17. Eskimo Joe
    If things go out way this could go MOD Risk for tor/wind. There's a legit high end potential here. Always good to see a strong jet streak coincide with a trough trying to negative tilt.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Andrew is quite conservative. To see him honking like this a couple days out is interesting.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    I vote we wait until Sunday PM.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    D4 setup could be legit if we aren't too socked in with low level clouds, etc.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    This event raised my grade for this winter from a C to a B. Had the late Feb event worked out, it would've been a B+/A.
  22. Eskimo Joe
  23. Eskimo Joe
    DCA M0.1" officially
  24. Eskimo Joe
    ^I really like the picture with the cherry tree.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Baltimore County jackpot
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