Jump to content

Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    25,013

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    This is how you establish cross polar flow and turn Canada into an ice box. A crucial first step for legit snow chances in these parts.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Inject that into my veins
  3. Eskimo Joe
    12z Euro appears to go for a prolonged weakening of the polar vortex? Maybe this at least mutes any Torchmas?
  4. Eskimo Joe
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Soils and streams getting dry again. If we can't at least maintain parity with seasonal precipitation this winter, next spring could be a rough drought.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Does timing of an autumnal or early winter SSW have any implication on the favorability for a colder/wetter season? Is this something that we want to have happen as early and strongly as possible, or wait until later on?
  7. Eskimo Joe
    That's quite possible. The "new normal" could be long stretches of dry with intermittent periods of just deluges of precipitation. Look back to the winter of 2015/2016. It was largely dry in the frozen and liquid precipitation. Our one big event just happened to be a well timed snow storm. If it were off by a week it would've been three inches of rain in January.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    It's still a bit early, but if we're at Thanksgiving and still bone dry with zonal flow, then yea something is probably off.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Low of 36 with a bit of frost on our back porch roof.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Heck of a way to run a Super Duper El Nino™
  11. Eskimo Joe
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Oh man that is an ugly look.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Not necessarily. NWS assigns new products to multiple test bed office concurrently to get data across multiple scenarios. It could be something like State College, Las Vegas, Duluth, and Binghamton.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Yes. Looks like 2028 is the proposed start year.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    "Big Blue Blob™ weather" -@Ian
  16. Eskimo Joe
    I'm not well versed on Pacific or Indian Ocean teleconnections. Just trying to learn how the PNA/PDO/EPO all mesh together. Interesting. I'm happy to see some kind of persistent western ridge in Canada. At least that mitigates the Pacific Puke to some degree. Thank you for the insight. I appreciate it.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    What do you think will be necessary for the PDO to switch back to a positive phase?
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Low of 40°.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Dew points are generally 33 - 35 degrees for many and there's a bit of wind. Frost seems quite possible, but the freeze might stay west of I-81 tonight.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Hot damn. We are cursed to love frozen water. Nice stuff!
  21. Eskimo Joe
    @CAPE gets his revenge for missing out on Isaias
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Freeze Watch just extended into the outer NW suburbs of Baltimore and DC. @asalt1 @HighStakes @wxmvpete and @mappy going to get chilly!
  23. Eskimo Joe
    The best storms appear to be well north of Harrisburg at the moment. Those are the only storms producing wind damage and CG.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Rather impressive to see the warm sector clear out so much. While surface CAPE is small and likely a narrow profile, there's okay lapse rates and respectable shear, which is probably why the DCAPE is decent. I'd still favor north of Mason-Dixon for any more scattered to widespread severe winds, etc.
  25. Eskimo Joe
×
×
  • Create New...