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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Hot damn. We are cursed to love frozen water. Nice stuff!
  2. @CAPE gets his revenge for missing out on Isaias
  3. Freeze Watch just extended into the outer NW suburbs of Baltimore and DC. @asalt1 @HighStakes @wxmvpete and @mappy going to get chilly!
  4. The best storms appear to be well north of Harrisburg at the moment. Those are the only storms producing wind damage and CG.
  5. Rather impressive to see the warm sector clear out so much. While surface CAPE is small and likely a narrow profile, there's okay lapse rates and respectable shear, which is probably why the DCAPE is decent. I'd still favor north of Mason-Dixon for any more scattered to widespread severe winds, etc.
  6. The only thing I can see that would prevent that would be if this cloud cover building in more.
  7. Starting the day out at nearly 80 degrees in Frederick County.
  8. Lightning detector going off for the storm in Mt. Airy.
  9. Time sensitive, but you can really see some decent convergence setting up in the western suburbs. Maybe angling for some heavier rain later on? https://mesonet.umd.edu/media/graphics/wspd_10m_plot.png?v=1791736880
  10. The plants must he really drawing up the rain. Several mesonet sites have yet to see their soil moisture numbers move at all despite over two inches of rain.
  11. Keedysville site almost 2.5" lines up well with other reports.
  12. Some mesonet sites already pushing 2" west of US 15. Maybe some terrain enhancement?
  13. Was hoping for a better presentation. I'm glad it's raining but it looks like the steady stuff may be zipping up into PA.
  14. I'm in peak winter mode. Worried about waking up tomorrow with a spotty or mostly empty radar then seeing the dreaded crawl on TWC, "winter storm warning canceled".
  15. Hope the AI guidance is right. Radar and upstream observations certainly aren't encouraging.
  16. Sign me up for a guaranteed regionwide 1.5" - 2.5" of rain.
  17. Thanks a nice bit of rain. Nothing too crazy.
  18. What does total rainfall look like.on the 12z euro?
  19. We need it. Our reservoirs are dry.
  20. Helene wrecked the SW part of this subforum.
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