Eskimo Joe
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yes, there definitely is a shot that something sneaks in along northeast Maryland near the Mason-Dixon Line. -
Yup. The temperature inversion was evident on the nighttime low temp map on the mesonet. Baltimore City already up to 77 degrees at 8am.
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Is there a "magic" PDO range that we want for sustained cold and/or snow during an El Nino winter? Do we even have a large enough sample size for any statistical significance?
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The two inch soil values have crashed statewide. We really need another 1"-2" of rain in the next week.
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We've worked hard the past decade to let our lawn grow longer, end bad chemical usage, and increase native plants to boost our lightning bugs.
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Man could you imagine if we got a PDO in the +0.5 - +1.0 range?
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I'll take it. June is important for crop formation. Even the afternoon storms and showers would at least keep things from sliding further into drought.
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We are so overdue for a legit, snowy and cold winter from start to finish. Bring it on. Kill the drought on Miller A at a time.
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Incredible nighttime temp disparities last night. Bittinger mesonet site in Garrett County dipped to 38 degrees, while Frostburg only got down to 51. Further east, the urban heat island effect was very evident in Baltimore. Towson cooled to 50 degrees, while Baltimore City's Montebello station only drifted down to 61.
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Posts like that from CWG are disappointing. They feed a false narrative that [insert thing or secret organization here] are controlling the weather. They should know better than that.
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Any cases of an emerging El Nino with a hot summer, then a cold and wet winter?
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Gotta wonder if that's the old Euro mid/long range heat bias kicking in.
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As @Ian would say, "Big Blue Blob Weather".
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Maybe the severe drought was the friends we made along the way?
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The deeper soil moisture probes on the mesonet sites aren't inspiring much hope. Sykesville's 20" and 40" values are almost as bad as the eastern shore. Full sun, dry air, and maximum leaf out means thirsty vegetation and streams.
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Legit Chamber of Commerce weather down here in Ocean City.
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While protracted over several days, this event was great to assuage the short term drought concerns. It would be great if we could get another pattern like this, but knocked it down into two or three days, and repeat each month through the summer.
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Looks like the warm front has been shoved south a bit. I'm thinking locations south of US 50 are probably better placed for afternoon convection?
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Only about half an inch of rain from the western mesonet sites. Good for soils and denting the drought.
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We've saving all the above normal temps for this winter.
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- we got burned
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HRRR and GFS try to paint that as well.
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For your sake, I agree. The four inch soil moisture numbers show the winners and losers from the past several days.
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Those VWC number are money. Rock Creek is currently experiencing some flooding near the beltway. We've close down Beach Driver between Connecticut Ave & Stoneybrook Dr. Looks like 1.5" - 2.2" from Potomac to Layhill overnight.
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This point will need to be hammered home with the public. We're already fielding questions at work, on a weekend, about why there's water restrictions with "all this rain we've had recently".
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Lanternflies and Tree of Heaven come from the same Geography.
