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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Grade is C for me. Best of the past couple of years, but two big models busts in Feb for snow stung.
  2. Pretty incredible temperatures this morning, might be due to an inversion? Clarskville bottomed out at 25 degrees, but Westminster only got down to 40.
  3. @IronTy I'll remember to bump troll you come July. We really need a steady, soaking 48 hours of light rain soon or we're going to really run the risk of some decent mountains and field fires.
  4. That seems to be how our winters are these days. Things just turn on and then turn off.
  5. Yea looks like after tomorrow, we start the warming trend.
  6. Never underestimate synoptic winds. If it were sunny today, we'd mix more effectively and probably get some legit gusts.
  7. Perfect weather for installing flood sensors and mesonet stations.
  8. I fall for this all the time too. Rich Thompson from SPC hammers this in his lecture that convection from maturing or mature systems will often persist longer than what the CAMS illustrate. We saw this during both April 2011 severe weather outbreaks where tornadoes occurred from Alabama up into Pennsylvania.
  9. Seems like the temperature inversion was mixed out. Winds now getting to the surface.
  10. Wind shift to SW at College Park and Upper Marlboro mesonet sites. Looks like the line is racing eastward.
  11. Seems like there's enough of a wedge west of the bay to keep the winds from mixing down to the surface effectively. All of the 40+mph wind gusts are east of the bay currently.
  12. So are we doing the play by play for today in here or the obs thread?
  13. $20 says they pay for Justin Berk's alarmism.
  14. Red polygon. Maybe they're leaning tornado watch?
  15. Gusty shower line today. I'm in. Sometimes you can get cool shelf clouds in a setup like this.
  16. Classic early season severe: socked in with clouds and low 50s.
  17. Don't sleep on setups like this. We had a marginal risk for severe weather in February just before covid kicked off that yielded numerous wind reports and several tornadoes after just an hour or two of sun: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/event.php?date=20200207
  18. Yes, the Euro AI is now operational.
  19. FYI, Garrett County getting split into two zones beginning March 18th: https://www.weather.gov/lwx/GarrettZoneSplit
  20. 12z NAM never gets dewpoint temps above 60F north of the Virginia Tidewater. Not sure why we have a D3 slight risk this far north.
  21. Do you get these notifications from Synoptic?
  22. RE: NOAA/NWS Call your elected representatives. Make a stink about it in person when they have town halls, but above all be respectful. Do not give them a reason to arrest you and strip your voting rights away. This is round #1. The decapitation of NWS will start in April.
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