Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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Dewpoints in the 40s are killing any severe chances.
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Called it, well the ENH upgrade at least.
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Yea that too.
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13z HRRR insists on tornadoes for West Virginia and Virginia. I could see SPC bumping the torn risk up to ENH for West Virginia, and/or extending the 5% east to the I-81 corridor.
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I'm not sold on tomorrow. We don't have any real surface instability.
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What a tremendous bust.
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Man if this was winter there would be top tier wailing from folks.
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Mesonet data shows parts of southern Maryland, specifically Charles County, approaching 2" already.
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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Eskimo Joe replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
FYI: -
Looks like decent slug of rain coming out of King William, VA towards southern Maryland.
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Latest HRRR is more encouraging east of US 15.
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A good point here. Folks don't care if we get an inch vs. two inches of rain. Unless it's flooding, there's no big deal to them. Contrast that with winter when a difference of 0.25" liquid means no work/school vs. a nothingburger.
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12z NAM appears to be less than 1.5" for everyone N&W of I-95.
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Imagine if this was winter.
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Yea that tracks.
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06z GFS runs a solid 1" - 2.5" for everyone east of I-81. Maybe a few 3" spots NW of Baltimore?
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That's good. I love agriculture and April is such a sensitive time of the year for our fruit crops in Maryland.
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Parkton mesonet site got down to 23! Very similar conditions, cool! Ug, did your trees already blossom?
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18z GFS had a legit 1" - 2.5" of rain from I-81 to I-95. That would be perfect.
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A new Maryland Mesonet location in Frederick County (Thurmont) is now live. This is the first station for Frederick County, MD. Despite the wind, it was a great day to deploy this with @wxmeddler. Station webpage: https://mesonet.umd.edu/station?stid=MDMSNT-25 MADIS ID [not sure when it will populate]: 025MD
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Really hope the Euro D3 wet bias isn't kicking in here.
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Agreed. Total qpf bust.
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What a surprise, the forecast rainfall amounts have evaporated.
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Already spiking south of US 50 it seems.
