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Sciascia

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Everything posted by Sciascia

  1. If only the Kuchera method could apply here, this run would be fridge posting material for ALEK
  2. A 987mb Low going through Indy is a near perfect track for N IL
  3. If this storm pushes ORD past 5.3 inches of snow for December, it’ll be the snowiest December in Chicago since 2016 when 17.7” fell. The last 5 Decembers have been: 1.9”, 2.8”, 2.0”, 1.4”, and 5.3”.
  4. Low seems more E than SE at 120hrs compared to 0z last night (Pivotal free only goes in 24hr increments so I can’t compare to 12z yet).
  5. 12am 12/22 - 12am Christmas Day, 18z GFS Higher totals SE of the 12z run.
  6. Two questions: 1. Is it necessary that the lead front push that hard in order for a good storm to occur? 2. If not, was the 00z EURO an example of what could occur if the system has some gulf moisture?
  7. Some women pray for 6-10 inches every day… …of snow. Come on, now.
  8. Let’s hope for a three-peat with the 12z 12/17 EURO!
  9. Midnight Thursday - Midnight Christmas Day, 12z GFS Another step in the direction of a EURO-like outcome.
  10. 12am Thursday - 12am Christmas Day, 00z EURO This would be crippling. Fun to watch, but crippling for travel. A Buried Christmas, if you will.
  11. I thank you & appreciate your detailed answer. I’m about 15 minutes south of the IL/WI border in Poplar Grove, so I always have to keep an eye on the state line events.
  12. GFS has been showing a flash mob of snow around midnight Thursday dropping 3-4 inches in just a few hours around Boone/other IL/WI border counties. Is that a realistic scenario?
  13. It would also be perfectly timed if it played out like it did on the GFS. Basically starts between midnight & 3am Thursday, ends around 10pm Thursday. Probably would be tricky for those traveling on the 23rd, but not as bad for the 24th/25th.
  14. NW Indiana lake snow machine would require everyone there to get shovels for Christmas.
  15. A heavy wet mix over here in Poplar Grove. Trying to become all snow, but just not quite making it there. Very slippery, though.
  16. Jiminy Cricket; my wife & I have been in Poplar Grove for almost 3 years now & I’ve never really heard my sump pump kick on as much as it has over the last 12 hours (A little bit of rain has come in the basement but nothing standing from what I checked last night) 4.5 inches of rain yesterday & currently raining.
  17. HRRR with some 6 inch blobs in Boone county.
  18. You should check out the 0z NAM. It’s even more outrageous than 18z.
  19. Fair point. Kuchera actually gives my area slightly more; but here goes:
  20. I’m bored on a Saturday morning, so here’s the newest NAM run:
  21. 06Z GFS & 00Z Euro have a similar swath area.
  22. Having flakes fly all day so far has been a very nice mood setter.
  23. Euro showing 6+ in NW IL? Don’t be playing with my heart now, Boris!
  24. Snow squall warning in effect. Thank god I worked this morning instead of my usual night shift. Should be a fun hour or so.
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