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Sciascia

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Everything posted by Sciascia

  1. Quadrant #4 represent! If this were to pan out (or even potentially change for the “worse,” it’s a tough decision on whether or not I should go to work tomorrow afternoon.
  2. 18z HRRR Kuchera snow map and precip plot at the end of the run (Noon Tuesday):
  3. Euro has officially put me in bullseye territory in the upper 1/3rd of Boone County, IL. Which means it’ll shift somewhere in the next 24hrs.
  4. This storm is close enough to be on the HRRR. You’ll see the low placement at 48hrs in the lower left vs. the new 00z NAM
  5. 00z NAM: Snow output in N IL weirdly spotty with 6 in Kane & DeKalb county but only 3-4 north of that. The low tracked through the middle of lower Wisconsin.
  6. Showing the snow band shifts over the last 13 GFS runs.
  7. Just imagine if the NAM pulls a coup on the way north track.
  8. If Rockford has a magnet, this is about as far NW as it can go in terms of getting the most snow.
  9. After looking at the 6z GFS, that’s back to back runs of 30+ inches at ORD in the next 8 days. If the 12z does the same, that’s “officially” a streak. Let’s go for it!
  10. Fox Chicago’s Mike Caplan mentioned in a livestream today that a special mission was conducted to retrieve data from the storm before it makes landfall. Also, that data is supposed to begin appearing in the 00z model suite.
  11. Sir, pornography is not allowed on this website. Especially money shots.
  12. Moderate to heavy snow falling. What a genuinely nice surprise to have it starting now.
  13. Rain is beginning to change to snow, about 5-6 hours earlier than the most recent HRRR had been forecasting in this area.
  14. LOT with a graphic showing how 3 of the 4 seasons will have a presence over the next 48hrs.
  15. As someone that had 3 tornadoes within 12 miles of their home (and one 3 miles away) on Friday night, I’m hoping this can just be thunderstorms and nothing severe.
  16. We’ve had our house in Poplar Grove for 3+ years. We’ve had to go into the basement for storms probably 3 times. Tonight was by far the scariest. Lightning, thunder, flickering & dimming lights. 3 scared pups (and their two anxious owners), but we made it. Thankful to be safe, especially knowing of the tornado only 9 miles south of our home in Belvidere. Hope everyone here got through it all safely, and my condolences to those affected by the tornadoes.
  17. Tornado warning poplar grove. Where’d it touch down?
  18. Changed my travel plans for the evening. Hopefully Metra doesn’t have a major disruption & I can still get into Chicago later tonight.
  19. Need some opinions here. I’m currently planning to catch a train out of Harvard at 5:20pm, set to arrive in Jefferson Park at 6:48pm. HRRR seems to be showing a lull in severity between 5 & 7pm, but severe weather can pop up whenever it wants. I can’t read the advanced stuff for rain events as well as I know others here can. Should I stick to that train or try for a later one/get the first train out tomorrow morning?
  20. Looks like a lull before some more snow as it exits. Wonder if the storms down south stole any of the moisture since (pretty much all) models had snow falling uninterrupted until afternoon.
  21. Storm has begun here with some freezing rain…or maybe just ice pellets.
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