snowcaine

Yeah I agree, honestly I just wanted one more 4"+ before the season wraps up. I'm more interested in the wind and blowing snow potential with this one than the snowfall amounts. I think we will need to get really lucky to be in the sweet spot for big amounts like that without precip issues affecting amounts. I wouldn't be surprised to see Ottawa and Montreal get hit harder.

18Z GFS does some wild stuff, I'm a bit skeptical of such an amplified solution. I'd feel more confident riding the 12Z ECMWF with a 5-6" call for most of Toronto. Wouldn't be surprised to see some precip issues with this one.

I think it stayed in effect due to the surprise model shift for the overnight into Friday period for some snow (RGEM had potentially 4")

Almost every single model had 4-8" falling during the commutes on Thursday into Friday. The special weather statement made sense IMO, it just didn't pan out. Models blew this one. Even ensemble prediction had a fairly high probability of 10+ cm. EC alerts based on vulnerability, not just amounts. 5-10 cm during rush hour in a major city has higher impacts than 15 cm on a weekend. The point is to alert people so that they can alter their behaviour (e.g. work from home on that day). Sometimes it doesn't pan out. I'm really frustrated with how the storm turned out also. I sure wasn't expecting barely 3" from the two waves.

A similar situation... about 3 times in the last 35 years

Looks like Toronto is on track to finish the first 6 months of 2019 without ever hitting 80 degrees