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StormchaserChuck!

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Everything posted by StormchaserChuck!

  1. I can't even get a High wind warning.
  2. ^ you predicted the wetter than average, monsoon season, I remember, good call.
  3. I think we'll have an active October, but this isn't redeveloping west, all we have is the La Nina-name
  4. believe it or not everyone looks when there are no anomalies
  5. Trough is the pattern since April, holding again today...
  6. I kind of like 11-12 and 12-13 as an analog (solar cycle similitaries). look at this!
  7. No reason the season shouldn't explode... we're average like 20TS in a La Nina since 1995/2000...
  8. 3 La Nina's have never been warm-all-3
  9. No signs of a real -PNA coming.. we are probably going to fight it through Dec 2022_+PNA probably. Then -PNA recycle early Jan-Feb 2023, probably correlating with ENSO.
  10. Prewtty warm August, Sept, Oct coming actually
  11. Really setting a trough pattern for the Winter. Wonder if we will break all the indexes suggesting warm, like 1/16+_year odds +warm. (ENSO/QBO/NAO)
  12. This +AO to +EPO vortex really underperformed.
  13. I made this point about last Winter.
  14. Yeah, I'm mostly referring to my previous researches. Hard to not be -PNA this Winter, and +NAO signal is now emerging
  15. We are heading quickly into +NAO signal. Might be a pretty horrible Winter with La Nina
  16. Yeah, despite +10F -PNA SSTs, there has been no real -PNA since Dec 2021, how interesting is that!
  17. I continue to prove my point about the N. Hemisphere complete disconnect from ENSO/La Nina. This is +AAM, not what is likely in Moderate-Strong ENSO.
  18. Does anybody see my posts besides you? I think we are heading for a Moderate-Strong La Nina. 3 years Nina's: 54-56, 73-76, 98-00. (19,25,*24 years apart)*-mathemtical anomalies.
  19. This is interesting. We might be "due" for a non- -PNA February. (I still think it will be -PNA Feb)
  20. I don't think it will be the best since 2016. We are probably going into a Moderate-Strong La Nina and January, February have a -PNA signal. We could eek out a big snowstorm or 2, but I think weak-STJ, SE High pressure is the trend, again. I posted in the SNE Winter threat that +QBO/La Nina is -NAO, and the signal is like +100-150dm. lol. please get my posts off of review. WXUSAFAA deleted a Winter research post last year, that was a pretty good time pure scientific research, had my number tally and all.
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