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StormchaserChuck!

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Everything posted by StormchaserChuck!

  1. StormchaserChuck!
    Had that sky-cloud pattern here about 7 days ago. It's been tropical now.
  2. StormchaserChuck!
    Yay! Wonderful, how are you? I feel there is always potential.
  3. StormchaserChuck!
    Geez that must be expensive and not much alcohol?
  4. StormchaserChuck!
    La Nina going in the Pacific subsurface.. I found a correlation of hurricane season subsurface vs surface 0.97 to 0.83 vs the 0.97 to 0.90. So it's a La Nina... but no severe wx season really, and a lot of blandness right now in the atmosphere will probably keep us away from Cat 4s or 5s.
  5. StormchaserChuck!
    Good picture. That's what I've been seeing the past 2 days with the clouds.
  6. StormchaserChuck!
    La Nina certainty looks like it's making a stand as per ENSO subsurface.. this is really easy: There will probably be some big potentials, subsurface is stronger in ENSO than surface conditions, re: hurricane season correlation. I would go more than 16 named storms.
  7. StormchaserChuck!
    Subsurface certainly looks like healthy La Nina.. it won't go there I think officially.. "Nuetral" global conditions are too prevalent (maybe we'll max out -0.5 to -0.7). https://www.pmel.noaa.gov/tao/drupal/assorted_plots/images/TAO_5Day_EQ_xz.gif
  8. StormchaserChuck!
    The high rainfall increases chances for -NAO Winter..
  9. StormchaserChuck!
    The drought is in the upper atmosphere. Wait until towering cumulonibus start happening again and watch how Drought is at the surface.
  10. StormchaserChuck!
    Things have trended pretty strongly away from +AO today. Warmer at the surface trend looks to continue, perhaps significantly. I think there will be a lot of +500mb heights in the Arctic circle for July. Also, Pacific-squeezed north Hadley Cell sustainable rarely works in verification.. more blocking over the Pole.
  11. StormchaserChuck!
  12. StormchaserChuck!
    Just ridiculous similarities continues.. June verified 90%
  13. StormchaserChuck!
    This is pretty cool, SOI and ENSO SST correlate more (not in reverse) when arctic ice is melting (2007-2012).
  14. StormchaserChuck!
    This is kind of ridiculous. At least models are picking up on stuff.
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