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StormchaserChuck!

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Everything posted by StormchaserChuck!

  1. StormchaserChuck!
    I want it to get warm. It's kind of warm today. I can't really feel -NAO anymore though..
  2. StormchaserChuck!
    my theory is that we are few years behind in arctic ice melt.
  3. StormchaserChuck!
    Do you know that we are at a record now of cold 10mb It usually goes right to +AO, no lag.
  4. StormchaserChuck!
  5. StormchaserChuck!
    I cant really find a time where we had almost +5c anomaly in the western subsurface NOW Here are the Strong Nino's though
  6. StormchaserChuck!
    It will probably go Neutral or weak El Nino.
  7. StormchaserChuck!
    Analogs They went 3 same - 1 neutral - 3 different later in the year.
  8. StormchaserChuck!
    We are a little colder than recent years This warm lat area will probably settle into Cape Verde storms season, at least early.
  9. StormchaserChuck!
    This massive +AO means Arctic ice melt will not hit this year, but 2022-23. fwiw
  10. StormchaserChuck!
    Our last -NAO in March was also with a -PNA Colder then though in Siberia and Europe
  11. StormchaserChuck!
    This is a pretty cold-phase time signature, like the 1960s. -PNA, -NAO. Look how we evolve, opposite wave duality
  12. StormchaserChuck!
    Nothing is Natural anymore muahahaha
  13. StormchaserChuck!
    This Pacific pattern into +AO is just incredible.
  14. StormchaserChuck!
    '93 the first time around was fun. I got like 35" in Baltimore.
  15. StormchaserChuck!
    With the way the globe is pulsing right now. Very unlikely it will change between now and then.
  16. StormchaserChuck!
    If we get a -PNA in April, that will be a big time sign for next Winter (for -PNA).
  17. StormchaserChuck!
    By the way, if we get a -PNA in April, that will be a big time sign for next Dec-Feb (for -PNA).
  18. StormchaserChuck!
    +400dm at hr384. I wonder if next March we'll have +PNA?
  19. StormchaserChuck!
    Temperatures will keep busting low for the next 7 days.
  20. StormchaserChuck!
    -NAO not happening in the LR
  21. StormchaserChuck!
    How about this trend of warmth in SE as a global warming hotspot? I always thought in the early 2000s, it would be +PNA warming, with above average everywhere and average in the SE... It seems now even in favorable patterns for SE cold, it just doesn't happen. Alberta clippers stopped sometime in the late 1990s. What's the correlation with melting arctic sea ice and Southeast, US temps? Get ready for a dead period in the 11-15 day.
  22. StormchaserChuck!
    What a hit this time of year has been with big N. Pacific +500mb anomalies over the last 9 years. 3-10/11 2012-2020: 384 GFS ensemble for 3-11 ENSO subsurface progression of western warmpool would support this:
  23. StormchaserChuck!
    What a hit this time of year has been with big N. Pacific +500mb anomalies over the last 9 years. 3-10/11 2012-2020: 384 GFS ensemble for 3-11
  24. StormchaserChuck!
  25. StormchaserChuck!
    I'm voting for a big melt.
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