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StormchaserChuck!

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Everything posted by StormchaserChuck!

  1. StormchaserChuck!
    El Nino cancel and La Nina weak coming back it looks like per latest subsurface. I would say it would be interesting to see how much of that +3 in the eastern subsurface surfaces in the next few weeks, but surface doesn't matter at all, honestly.
  2. StormchaserChuck!
    Check out the ridge in the GOA.. strengthens my theory about a saturated atmosphere.. days 5-15. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/ENSHGTAVGNH_6z/ensloopmref.html
  3. StormchaserChuck!
    There is +3 below the surface in the east, it's going to warm Nino 3 up a lot in the next few weeks.
  4. StormchaserChuck!
    Since 2010, +NAO May20-Jun1: 30,15,15,11,19
  5. StormchaserChuck!
    Yeah, we should average about +0.5c for ENSO right now, and it's about +0.2
  6. StormchaserChuck!
    Isn't that cool.. ONI peak +1.1 to +1.2 and -QBO?
  7. StormchaserChuck!
    Yeah, the Super Nino in 1997 broke it I think.
  8. StormchaserChuck!
    Nice little subsurface configuration today.. I think we are going Moderate El Nino.
  9. StormchaserChuck!
    At least you'll have a good Winter, Moderate El Nino/-QBO, the best of 8 combo's .. not. It's mechanical. You'll probably be above average.
  10. StormchaserChuck!
    among others? We probably break +0.5c at the surface quickly.
  11. StormchaserChuck!
    So what?
  12. StormchaserChuck!
    8%? Lame.. we are definitely going Weak El Nino by July probably.
  13. StormchaserChuck!
    14/14 times the QBO went negative for the winter, and it's a Weak-Moderate El Nino so.. so. s-o
  14. StormchaserChuck!
    You probably aren't allowed to respond, in another dimension or something
  15. StormchaserChuck!
    Nice little anti-thesis of the recent cold via Arctic ice melt accelerate displacing cold in the start of warming season/opposite lol
  16. StormchaserChuck!
    +3 hitting the central subsurface, it's going to be a Moderate El Nino. :)
  17. StormchaserChuck!
    I don't know why the peark is casting swine but in jan 2022 we will know if it's still El Nino or going into La Nina.
  18. StormchaserChuck!
    Yeah, they did spaghetti in 2004 but it was an El Nino pattern.
  19. StormchaserChuck!
    I like it (+PNA)
  20. StormchaserChuck!
    You can see the transition in the first post on this page. Like always, the Hemisphere will transition too.
  21. StormchaserChuck!
    May 2 -NAO
  22. StormchaserChuck!
    Yeah, it was a wet April
  23. StormchaserChuck!
    warm May
  24. StormchaserChuck!
    warm Europe
  25. StormchaserChuck!
    Pick a date for next winter and I'll tell you the 500mb pattern
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