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StormchaserChuck!

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Everything posted by StormchaserChuck!

  1. StormchaserChuck!
    West coast drought is busting.. what happened when 2015 broke.
  2. StormchaserChuck!
    (fake -NAO)
  3. StormchaserChuck!
    I did a roll-forward one year after cold water extended to 30S, the next year, Nino1.2->to 30S is -0.1 to -0.5, Nino 3/4 0.0 (Neutral)
  4. StormchaserChuck!
    -NAO
  5. StormchaserChuck!
    I loved AZ.. beautiful state. Watch the models trend more -PNA at Day 15, away from current+PNA
  6. StormchaserChuck!
    I doubt the +EPO cuts into +PNA but the beginning of November (-PNA)
  7. StormchaserChuck!
    My best analog is 20-21, although maybe the February cold happens in January (with -PNA/+EPO favored during -NAO in January) I also like 10-11, 11-12, 08-09, 07-08 (It's too bad we didn't do El Nino this Winter, for testing purposes)
  8. StormchaserChuck!
    ^ The SH -PDO is pretty interesting (not too many examples of symmetry)
  9. StormchaserChuck!
    It was a cool Summer here too. Seems that after June, it never went above 90.
  10. StormchaserChuck!
    https://ibb.co/pjLHdtB -PNA is going to persist through Nov
  11. StormchaserChuck!
    Winter cancel cancel (-PNA/-PDO) https://ibb.co/pjLHdtB
  12. StormchaserChuck!
    ^ Dec 2010 reference https://ibb.co/L5kQsKK
  13. StormchaserChuck!
    There was a nice global cooling in 1992 that popped the NAO- https://ibb.co/WG16TCn
  14. StormchaserChuck!
    Maybe it will pourover into NAO---___ https://ibb.co/gPMQCHp
  15. StormchaserChuck!
    I think all the SSTAs show is that we can go back to -NAO https://ibb.co/4jmgx7T https://ibb.co/BgXNxyb
  16. StormchaserChuck!
    I think we can go back to +EPO for the Winter.
  17. StormchaserChuck!
    https://ibb.co/xs7TtYd It's going to get warm to overperform here days 4-7.
  18. StormchaserChuck!
    After a 500mb low at -500dm anomaly off the West coast (Day 4), it might get warm to overperform here. I also expect -PNA, strong, through November.
  19. StormchaserChuck!
    The beginning https://ibb.co/rdbN76n
  20. StormchaserChuck!
    It starts https://ibb.co/rdbN76n
  21. StormchaserChuck!
    384hr GFS looks really good https://ibb.co/XY17hLZ I bet it will trend more -PNA/SE ridge, but if this holds, we did get 5.5" on Nov 15, 2018 here.
  22. StormchaserChuck!
    384hr GFS looks really good https://ibb.co/XY17hLZ I bet it will trend more -PNA/SE ridge, but if this holds, we did get 5.5" on Nov 15, 2018 down here.
  23. StormchaserChuck!
    Yeah, we had that in 2018. I wonder if it will get cold with all the -NAO potential this Winter. It's been popping with -PNA. I wonder what the next few Winter's will be like..If every -NAO/-PNA run together, eventually something has to happen or become more macro..
  24. StormchaserChuck!
    00, 05, 09, 02... minus 08, 01. I'll take it.. '97 had increasing prices, but that easily could have been a good Winter.. alot of -NAO potential in '97
  25. StormchaserChuck!
    Yeah, 250 million people, and you search "radar", you get National Weather Service as the only 1 and now that's not working lol. I'll never get that.
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