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Daniel Boone

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  1. Daniel Boone
    Graupel here just b4 dark that dusted housetops, cars etc.. Went to Big Stone Gap 2day and passed vehicles coming from Norton/Wise area that looked to of had about an inch on them.
  2. Daniel Boone
    Thanks for the uplifting comments buddy. That warm pool you mentioned may help pump a ridge there as you mentioned from time to time and mitigate that zonal depiction. That could work for us and maybe, I won't eat those words, lol.
  3. Daniel Boone
    Will add, looking at the last evolution of the esp run. It does go zonal even with the blocking. That AK Vort is suppressing the Niña forced Ridge but instead of it shifting east or west, it just flattens and thereby causes a screaming Pac Jet. Not good. So. I may eat my above words. Would be nice if that AK Vort would continue west and set-up along the Aleutians.
  4. Daniel Boone
    I'll say one thing, you can bet the monthlies will bust big time if that high latitude depiction is realized throughout the Winter at any sustainability. Those Monthly runs put alot of weight in ENSO .
  5. Daniel Boone
    Think that's the biggest concern for the lower elevations. The longer the clear skies 2night the better. Problem is, it's already beginning to cloud up. Worst case scenario; cloud up during afternoon as that seals in the daytime heat build up , then remain cloudy up to precip onset. Don't you just hate that if you're a snow lover.?!
  6. Daniel Boone
    It was wet here in Lee County up until last Month. It was way below average here. Only 1.4 inches of rain ! Just.43" yesterday. The last 3 systems have produced much less than forecasted. Snowfall fro the other day was more than models projected for the County.
  7. Daniel Boone
    Right along you John and my thoughts yesterday of the "how" to get a favorable pattern even with the AK Vort.
  8. Daniel Boone
    Exactly the option we discussed that would get it done John. More than likely will be wavering back and forth between the two alot. Saw where CPC Totally bought yesterday's solutions. Not surprising though, as percentage odds and recent climate persistence trends would dictate that from them.
  9. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, for sure John. Still some hope for last nights depiction to be possible, with enough NA blocking and that NE PAC warm pool as Carver aluded to. But, with the Nina, in particular it's strength, this new depiction has greater odds of happening i.m.o, unfortunately . Maybe, it'll be more back and forth between the 2. If so, we can work with that.
  10. Daniel Boone
    My thoughts are exactly with Carvers. That NE PAC warm pool along with HLB are fighting any Niña takeover . IF Eps later depiction is right, it appears HLB may gradually force that vortex in the Yukon south. Probably down into south central Canada then who knows from there. Down into US or into eastern Canada.
  11. Daniel Boone
    Gotcha ! Thanks for the clarification. I expect back and forth as well. MJO does rule the roost many,( if not most, times ) tbh.
  12. Daniel Boone
    Same things were brought up back in '95-96 Fred as well as 2010-11 and a couple Factors warred against the full La Niña pattern takeover . Oh yes, it did try especially in 95-96 as short lived bouts of mild would come east only to be shunted by strong blocking in the NAO domain and other areas as Carver aluded to. Of course, Niña was weak that season so, odds are less favorable for that yo happen now and more in favor of more niña influence. However, what about 2010-11 ? Strong Niña but, remained cold overall in the East. Blocking was one reason. What was the others ?
  13. Daniel Boone
    Portions of Lee County received a good bit more than those reports. Problem is, very few report from here. Rose Hill for instance received 2.5 inches . Ben hur, 2" . I took measurements. The .80 was mine at 7 a.m...another .7 fell after that.
  14. Daniel Boone
    Noticed Dierks on WCYB this evening mentioned just a low chance of a turn over at the end for end of week system and showed a model run. He is a good Met and guy but, is warm biased.
  15. Daniel Boone
    Lee County totals varied from under an inch to several. Jonesville, 1 to 1.5" . Rose Hill 2.5, Ben Hur 2". Pennington gap 1.5. More on mountains, of course.
  16. Daniel Boone
    Latest update from kmrx has no accumulation for Knoxvegas. Not surprising though.
  17. Daniel Boone
    Feb. 2015 was epic and was going against the grain, so to speak.
  18. Daniel Boone
    Lt rain in Kingsport still. Just leaving there geading back home. Inlaws said snowing in Jonesville.
  19. Daniel Boone
    Light snow coming down steady 1800 and up on Powell Mountain, Lee/Scott County line.
  20. Daniel Boone
    Wonder what's causing the drop off in parts of Eastern KY on Rap ? Looks rather odd.
  21. Daniel Boone
    That should allow for more system generated Snowfall for the area.
  22. Daniel Boone
    It looks NAM generated.
  23. Daniel Boone
    If today's GFS Operational comes to fruition, our cold/snow after 2morrow and Tuesdays went in the crapper! Flip flop from last several days.
  24. Daniel Boone
    That's a rather "cheesy " looking forecast. They can do better than that.
  25. Daniel Boone
    Y
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