Jump to content

Daniel Boone

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    2,820

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. Daniel Boone
    In case anyone saw my last post . I corrected the date of that event . It was Feb. 15 2005. Would post maps from then but, too sick even do it now. Tennessee folks check that one out. Even bordering counties in Va. were clocked.
  2. Daniel Boone
    Looking alot like Feb. 15, 2004. Feast or famine with sharp north cutoff.
  3. Daniel Boone
    I still can't pull the trigger on a big Dog for my area as the RGEM has me a bit concerned as it has been money this season here. However, big Dog trigger pulled for Smokies. This system may do something akin to the Feb. 15 2005 storm. Temps were marginal and there was a sharp cutoff on the nnw quadrant. Lee County ranged from a trace northern section (Keokee) to 5 Jonesville to 8 -10" just south of there across the southern half of County bordering Tenn. to Stickleyville bordering Scott county, va. I'm sure John can detail that one. Interesting one 4 sure.
  4. Daniel Boone
    Trended SE from 06z. Hopefully, not an actual trend . Euro did similar with Christmas Storm at this range. Hopefully, same deal here. Short range main watch party from here in anyway.
  5. Daniel Boone
    Riding the Rap...maybe my possible big dog bold prediction trigger will be pulled shortly, lol
  6. Daniel Boone
    Tbh, I hadn't looked at them at all today either as feeling rough kept me from delving n2 them. So, just was getting the info from you guy's, of which is hard to beat. Great bunch we have here! A full latt. Trough was something that was prominent in the Winter of 78-79. Particularly January and February. Strong blocking was the impetus similar to what's being advertised now. The entire Nation was below average except for Maine and south Florida as I recall.
  7. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, good points buddy. Those ideas sure would be the desired and optimal way for us to get through the retro ridge situation for sure! Also, strong enough blocking along with the southern flat ridge could produce some overrunning situations. Maybe some dreaded ice scenarios. Depending on which side of the boundary, could also produce flooding .
  8. Daniel Boone
    If that ridge does retro to Aleutians that in and of itself in conjunction with the La niña is not good at all. Let alone MJO going n2 warm phases. If we maintain strong blocking however, it could offset the typical outcome of course.
  9. Daniel Boone
    Good point, especially with the Canadian doing that. The Canadian suite has performed well this fall/winter. However, I still think what u alluded to yesterday has merrit regarding model's adjusting to strong blocking. Just not alot that's been ingested in them regarding that.
  10. Daniel Boone
    Awfully close to calling for a big dog...
  11. Daniel Boone
    So far today's colder than forecast. Models may continue to trend down(hopefully) with the temps for the upcoming systems. If so, we all know what the outcome would be.
  12. Daniel Boone
    I've often wondered, how our area in the great Valley would fare snowfall wise if the mountains were a couple thousand feet lower or if our Valley was a couple thousand feet higher and their elevations as are. I'm sure we'd average more either way. What if the mountains weren't there at all ?
  13. Daniel Boone
    Bingo! I believe u hit the Nail on the head .
  14. Daniel Boone
    When the stratosphere ruins your seasonal model party Just a wee bit of adjustment for the January pattern on the new CanSips. New on the L, old on the R 4:03 PM · Jan 1, 2021·Twitter Web Appi
  15. Daniel Boone
    Happy New Year to all ! Hopefully the Weather will help make it happy for us here in the best forum as weathernut rightfully proclaimed.
  16. Daniel Boone
    If the strong blocking continues to be realised, you can bet models will trend south with systems. GFS looks to be still GooFuS at times.
  17. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, we're gonna see that as models try to adjust to the block. If the strong blocking is realised, models will trend south with systems within medium range the closer we get to their arrival.
  18. Daniel Boone
    Hopefully, it'll be shoved westward by HLB. Although La niña forcing may hamper that. We can still get cold enuff even without strong cold advection. Even can occasionally get enough eastern Canadian cold to help out.
  19. Daniel Boone
    Looks good for Miller b/a hybrids. Ala 95-96 . Clippers too I suppose, particularly when Ridging pops in the West.
  20. Daniel Boone
    Look at that "oddity" Jan. 96 one ! How often do u see that pattern occur ?!
  21. Daniel Boone
    Excellent Post !!!
  22. Daniel Boone
    Oh yeah, definitely agree! It's sure not the 60s and 70s anymore, when we scored regardless of a crap Pac. We wound up with 5.5 from last System. Claiborne, Bell and Lee all got more than forecasted. RGEM was on the money.
  23. Daniel Boone
    With Strong blocking, even with a crappy Pac, it can work out 4 us as long as enuff cold can be mustered up. Also , blocking should at least occasionally congest the Pac flow and buckle a Ridge in the West. Hopefully, timing with storms will work with that. But, yeah, at least a modest change would really up our odds.
  24. Daniel Boone
    Evolutions looking about like we had envisioned. Hopefully, that will be the case. If so, depending on the speed, could be fun and games (plural ☺)thru much of January and possibly Feb...*hopefully I don't pull a Jeff and jinx us . Thanks to all the work Carvers, Holston, John et al do . You guys are the best !
  25. Daniel Boone
    What we hope happens here is once the SSW Affects are underway the HLB will be strongly entrenched and the WAR will gradually erode sw to Ne, and allow troughs to undercut into the SE. Neg. tilted troughs can really dump on us snowwise.
×
×
  • Create New...