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Daniel Boone

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  1. Daniel Boone
    I was thinking of the possibility of the NAO SE Ridge linkage yesterday and thought about bringing that up here but, didn't want to discourage as I'm trying to stay positive with this Winters better outcome. When that big cold blob began dropping into the west on models, the possibility of that linkage I knew existed . Especially with the Rather South displaced and strength of the - NAO. That ups the chances of a linkage, imo. As or IF that trough deepens in the West, of which will seesaw and pop a SE Ridge, at least of sorts. A 50-50 Low should/could help or instigate a gap in that linkage and possible allow for a cold country as a whole, ala ., Jan-Feb. 1979. Of course, we're in a different Climate era now so... Another worry is the La Niña assisting that Western Trough ; embedding it. As Carvers noted, the MJO may help us out this time, for a change. It owes us ! Lol.
  2. Daniel Boone
    Got back home about dusk and took a measurement. 2.75" . There had been a little melting so, prob was a tad more but, have to report measured amount. Spoke with Kmrx and they said there was a report from near Rose Hill if 5". Here's a shot after I got home here. Pic of side lawn.
  3. Daniel Boone
    Looks like ur the winner so far brother. What did u get , 4 to 5" ?
  4. Daniel Boone
    Measured 1.70 " at home with moderate snow falling . Travelled to Middlesboro and took couple pics in Rose hill, where about 3" was on ground . Sun broke thru some breaks in clouds from Ewing to Mboro. Melting taking place there. Got to Mboro and most had melted in town. A heavy squall came thru that was prob. 6" hour rate! Was listening for thunder but, heard none. If had all stuck, would of easily dropped an inch in that 10 minutes. Temp. Here in mboro is above freezing. 35.
  5. Daniel Boone
    Heavy Snow showers began while I was leaving Pennington gap about an hour ago. Got home a just s few flakes here. You can see them scattered within the area.
  6. Daniel Boone
    I believe somebody's gonna get hammered with this. Ive saw 2 to 4 inches fall in an hour with these type squalls, let alone several inches from synoptic, stratuform snow within closer proximity of the system.
  7. Daniel Boone
    Definitely..
  8. Daniel Boone
    Models still having trouble balancing out trough west and what normally should be ridge east deal to them, with the nowadays rare blocking. Spoke with Kmrx met earlier and was in agreement on that affecting models. Just not alot of input from strong blocking as opposed to the usual non blocking Winters.
  9. Daniel Boone
    I can only imagine what a blockbuster Winter we would of had if the Pacific was in a better state. OTOH, minus the blocking and we may just be watching flowers bloom.
  10. Daniel Boone
    Wise Va Webcam :https://www.uvawise.edu/academics/departments/mathematics-computer-science/webcam
  11. Daniel Boone
    Now that looks like the trajectory/snowfall layout fro alot of the strong blocking years with similar Pacific config..
  12. Daniel Boone
    Picked up a heavy dusting here. Temp. Of 33. Had to mod. To heavy at times but couldn't mountbup due to wet ground and above freezing. T. Also, the snow would heavy burst then go light. Even with what rain/mix we got b4 changeover, there's still patches of old snow in shady areas.
  13. Daniel Boone
    I wonder if it'll do any better with this one as far as this areas concerned.? For whatever the reason, it has underforecasted amounts for this area every single snowfall this Season, even right up to the event.
  14. Daniel Boone
    Yep. Then the big East Coast Storm hit the 23rd. That one varied big time in the area. Mixing, Downsloping issues in parts of area. Wound up with just 4" from It. Well below forecasted amounts.
  15. Daniel Boone
    Margie!!! She was fun to watch. Those were the days buddy !
  16. Daniel Boone
    Oh yeah. Remember that one well John. Models had south west/central KY getting up to 8" then rapidly diminishing as system trekked eastward. I recorded 4.7" at my home in Jonesville then. Western Lee, Claiborne had reports of 6 to 7 inches of which were verified by pictures.
  17. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, and typically a sharp cutoff on southern boundary. Hopefully, blocking will aid in the southward path.
  18. Daniel Boone
    Apparently, some on air Mets don't keep up to date on latest guidance . A couple local Stations Mets obviously going by earlier model data.. They're doing the same as they have with every snow potential event so far this Season. I wonder if anyone calls them on that. Why do they not learn ? Oh well. I always was a stickler for accuracy. Tbh, some are just there for the Job.
  19. Daniel Boone
    Now that is 95-96 looking. Nw to SE orientation. That'll get r done ! Miller B transfer A hybrids . Although , NAO block is a little displaced further south than 95-96. "50-50" displaced south as well. IF this comes to fruition , don't know what difference that will make in storm tracks compared to 95-96. I'm thinking maybe better for areas further south and west. Great for all actually.
  20. Daniel Boone
    Agreed. We would possibly of had a January akin to the Niña 1950 one(a bit extreme but..) if not for the strong -NAO... Too bad the Niña is there or the strength it is. A weaker, maybe a 95-96 redux or at least a milder version would be great.. better yet , weak to moderate Nino . If we can keep a decent -Nao, we could still turn some of that projected Feb. Ark needed scenario to Sled needing.
  21. Daniel Boone
    Whether this makes inroads here remains to be seen.
  22. Daniel Boone
    Conflicting signals and pattern drivers causing model mayhem. We definitely need some real cold to get into the mix while we have the blocking if we really want a major widespread snowstorm imo. Can still occur with marginal but, unlikely to be widespread.
  23. Daniel Boone
    Lol. Gfs is really fouled up irt that since last "upgrade" . Ive recorded 4 snowfalls here this season and on several occasions it showed that on its runs and it turned out to be snow, to no surprise.
  24. Daniel Boone
    Good post. Going on back, Jan../ Feb. 1979 had similar periods that produced abundant snows in the forum area. Btw, saw where CPC has our area above avg. Temps and precip in the 8 to 14 day. The map shows a linear above norm. 40° South, avg to below 40° N. I forget which model was showing that in extended yesterday . But, they went with it like they did in December when Christmas period was projected to be mild. .
  25. Daniel Boone
    The surprise ones are always great. I don't know exact what the culprit is, particularly with the SR Model's, but they appear to be a bit more off lately. I know there's been some talk of the MR one's not getting as much upper air data ingested. Forget reasoning but, did read on it somewhere.
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