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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. Daniel Boone
    Can u imagine living there ?! As far as local, Wise recorded a dusting this morning. Flurries here.
  2. Daniel Boone
    Flurries between 8 and 9 a.m..quick burst whited out Wallen Ridge about 2 miles to my east. See Wise got a dusting on UVAWise Cam.
  3. Daniel Boone
    Yeah. There's some correlated catalysts but, nothing is foolproof with it. Thus, the lack of lr predictability.
  4. Daniel Boone
    I agree Kevin. Sure would help. Carvers made key points imo, on what would work . Propagation n2 cold phases is tough due to driver resistance as Jeff alluded to. The way out is what we have been hoping for; Formidable HLB. Alter the flow and force the desired 500 mb config..
  5. Daniel Boone
    I know you didn't. I just figured I should have. And yeah, you are a great asset to the forum brother.
  6. Daniel Boone
    I should of worded better. You do a much better job than me buddy . Yeah, a bit east makes sense as well.
  7. Daniel Boone
    Good post. Point I was making when referencing the possibility of similar result as last Winter.
  8. Daniel Boone
    IF the HLB does manifest then we should be in business regardless of MJO and the crappy PAC at least in northern forum areas, as last Winter showed as long as it's formidable and stable for awhile, providing there's enuff cold from Canada to come down, of which doesn't look like a problem.
  9. Daniel Boone
    Shafted here with rain amounts again. Weakness developed between heavy area north and south along precip shield. Just 0.33" as of 12:30 p.m..
  10. Daniel Boone
    Strong blocking could still counter it pretty good but, that's hard to bet on.
  11. Daniel Boone
    Maybe the Global warming Climate money grabbing bunch are involved. Hacking models to produce warm outlooks
  12. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, definitely need SSTs to warm at least in that Nina location. If not, pray for the ssw to come thru and pop hlb. For cold/snow lovers that could salvage January and a weakened Nina may Feb.
  13. Daniel Boone
    I think we all agree that without HLB this Winter is basically set in stone mild overall. When the Greenland block set up, I was concerned that the AO wasn't also going decently negative. I think we need them both to counter all the warm drivers with sustainability. IF a SSW does occur, it would assist in forcing a favorable HLB Regime i.m.o.. How long that would last against so many hostile variables ?., God knows. The MJO is, of course the other driver that can help but, can also hurt, as we all know.
  14. Daniel Boone
    So....you're saying there's a chance, lol.
  15. Daniel Boone
    1 in a bunch. Yes, a possibility but, not likely, imo. Qbo blocking and odds are against it.
  16. Daniel Boone
    Happy Thanksgiving! Sounds like a probable occurrence this Winter as I think blocking will be prevalent and that in combination with La nina and -PDO should result in swings.
  17. Daniel Boone
    Great info and work John ! The 71-72 one sticks out to me...There was a major late November Snowstorm here (8 inch). Dec...very small events here. Jan. Mild, basically snowless. Feb., An Alaskan born major cold shot mid Month sparked a major east coast Snowstorm 17-19th. 8" on the 17th here. Interesting 500 mb charts on all those Winters and events you presented on Plymouth.
  18. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, Carvers. A bit tough to decipher. MJO along with overall bad PAC , with no blocking would be a no brainer but, things may follow similar route as last Winter. Therefore, blocking would be pretty dominate and alter any Pac driven super mild pattern here.
  19. Daniel Boone
    Excellent post buddy ! Yeah, I remember those days of old... We've cashed in with decent snowfalls with that setup. I will note; the 60's also had that pattern rather often and as most know that Decade was basically cold/snowy. A -PDO and -NAO was dominate overall. Many nowadays, particularly the younger crowd, including Mets, tend to go automatic mild in this area with the Alaskan vortex or trough(for obvious reasons). A SW US Ridge and strong block in the areas portrayed can produce a pattern where we can cash in still with cold and snow.
  20. Daniel Boone
    Think they're having trouble with the Greenland block...Gefs wants to basically go Pac driven and basically overpower the -NAO affect. With that firehouse pac jet, it would sure halp to have a strong -AO in conjunction with the-NAO. Imo, that would help counter the terrible Pac setup.
  21. Daniel Boone
    12z GFS went totally into the crapper !
  22. Daniel Boone
    Foliage peak was 2 to 3 weeks behind normal here in SWVA .
  23. Daniel Boone
    Them cold look fountains are the one's that just look like they'd just have to have cold water flowing out of them. Lol
  24. Daniel Boone
    Currently 37 up here in Wise now. 45 at home in Jonesville. 52 in Kingsport. Pretty good spread in area. Agree John on overnight lows. Kmrx is almost always too high on forecasted Temps for your and my area.
  25. Daniel Boone
    Yeah. It is rather interesting to study that period and see what we can deduce on the difference in outcome in comparison to this era.
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