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Daniel Boone

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  1. Just looking over some archived data of the March 2-3 1942 Snowstorm. That storm tracked from around Mobile thru the upstate then west of Hatteras to off Jersey Coast. That Storm still stands as the biggest Snowfall in most of Lee County on Record. Reportedly 34" in Jonesville. 36" in Pennington gap we're measured. Asheville received 16" from it. That Storm dumped on a huge area. Stretching from Ne Ga to Maine and back to eastern Ohio Valley. Of course, this one will be nothing like that although, track and some 500 mb features are similar. You can find map data on NOAA's daily weather map archived page. Also, photos from Pittsburgh of it where over 2 feet fell..
  2. Bingo ! Excellent point Carvers. I've saw many March storms overperform by a large margin.
  3. Yeah, that would be a good thing and quite possibly allow for the higher end totals.
  4. It appears the model's are having trouble not implementing the thorn that plagued the Valley in January. Shift everything a few miles east and would be great. Could be, cold infiltrates enough this go round to dislodge that Thorn.
  5. Yeah, the model's will follow that pattern somewhat as that was ingested from this Winter's track's.
  6. This looks to have the potential for a classic major March Snowstorm. Looks fairly likely the Plateau will receive a foot or more. Slow this thing down a tad and increase duration and a true to form old fashioned big March snowstorm would result with 1 to 2 feet Totals.
  7. If we do get a decent March Storm,the 74-75 analog will have worked out somewhat. Of course no analogues going to be exact or even real close to carbon copy. I actually feel pretty confident in a decent snowfall this time. Hopefully it pans out
  8. Here's a link with pics of a major Snowstorm that encompassed a large area, including ours. It stretched from NE Georgia all the way to NewYork. Mainly west side of Apps. It is Lee Counties biggest on record with Pennington gap recording about 3 feet ! My parents spoke of it being up to the windows on the level. The local paper has an article on it. Very interesting. Would post if there were room.
  9. Yeah, same irt this area although annual precip avgs a bit more as Lee County averages 45 to 55 inches annually. More Mountain tops of course. Western end near Cumberland gap highest Valley range. Central, lowest. Snowfall as is case with where u are on average, 14 to 45 " annually with more Mountain tops. The high end being Northern Lee , the Keokee area on the western arm of the Wise Plateau, as it's pegged in the area. As u can see, much more on the Wise plateau in northern Lee and portions of Wise and Russell Co. I.e., Wise, Norton,Lebanon and Honaker.
  10. Excellent analysis and well presented as usual Jeff.
  11. Yeah, does pique the interest. Probably is enhanced be the angle of the Valley between those ridges going up to Monterey. You can visualize how that would probably enhance the heavier "streak" if you will, through there. Sort of a concentrated upward funnel of moisture transport.
  12. Lt. Dusting here with very small flakes falling.
  13. Lee County Data is corrupted due to the Pennington gap Site. Official NWS Site and Equipment set up not inline with NWS standards. Metal building 10 ft from Thermohydro Sensor. Site situated about 75-100 yards from Powell River only about 10 ft above bank level. It is within the Pennington gap Sewer Plant and manned by plant personnel. The Pennington Station was out of circuit up until a year or so ago due to erroneous data being reported from the previous site 1 m. South of Pennington at the Water Plant on the banks of Powell River and manned by plant employees. There was a time accurate Data was recorded from Pennington gap. WSWV Radio recorded data for about 12 years up until mid 90's, with staff Meteorologist Don Tooley doing the honors there . Long time official Observer Ernest Frye was prior to that beginning around 1950. Both those locations were more reflective of the Pennington gap area. If you want Accurate Forecasts and Model Data, you need accurate, well placed Stations with trustworthy, knowledgeable Observers.
  14. Yeah, one of my Winter analogs. Hopefully it'll work out. '72 one failed.
  15. Yeah, IF favorable phases coincide with strat induced blocking, chances of a storm is possible in March and a blockbuster at that. However, LATE March cuts down the odds particularly in lower eles..
  16. Exactly Carvers. Yeah, hopefully we get that moderate snow area this weekend but displaced about 50 statute miles Se.
  17. Yep. With this Pattern we need digging Clippers. The s.stream actually hurts us with those sometimes.
  18. We are still slightly less than half the average Seasonal Snowfall here. 7.9" so far.
  19. So, basically everyone needs to take a Chill pill, right?.
  20. Lol. Not surprising really. I don't get how they picked that up and then completely lost it. How many snows , storms or clippers have we saw advertised recently within the 10 day window that has materialized.?...Very few. I'm basically down to having any hopes in one, of about 3 days on the horizon.
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