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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. Had about 3 inches of Snow here around 4 a.m..then sleet and rain kicked in and really packed and melted alot. False reports were reported here due to that. They reported what was on after they got up this morning. Just 1 to 1.5" left as of noon. .75" liquid has recorded on my Weather Station.
  2. The HRRR has KTRI as the sweet spot while WISE hardly any at all. Don't know how its getting that. KTRI hit 50 today, Wise 36.
  3. Should shunt it from coming as far North.
  4. Most of the weather forecast media outlets are all going with the strong WAA warm nose Thursday with possibly a light mix early quickly changing to heavy rain. It's as if they never saw any of the snowy runs. Granted,with the way this system done, it does make it hard to believe those solutions but, not totally discount especially when there's players on the field that could cause those solutions.
  5. I agree Carvers. March is getting late in the game. Without a ridge out West it'll be tough relying on just blocking,is basically what i was aluding to. Hopefully, we can get those in conjunction.
  6. Euro's had a warm bias for as long as i can remember. Don't know why it never was fixed.
  7. Canadian Suite in particular, may be onto something. I feel at some point the "up the great Valley" se ridge affect will begin to collapse mainly N to South . By that time most of the caa should be entire column, possibly sleet b4 snow changeover as mid level may still have some +0c early on. Of course, in light of consensus, may be just grasping at straws but, have seen this type play out before.
  8. We'd been in business forum wide had blocking stayed strong. Hopefully, we can either get that to rebuild or get ridging more n2 the west b4 too late as that bermuda high is pretty formidable. MJO going decent amp ph. 8 would of done the trick. I am still in hopes we at least get enough nudge eastward to get Eastern areas in the game. That trough orientation as well as bermuda high is pretty locked, unfortunately for a good while it appears.
  9. A little more push via, Hp, kicker systems etc,. Could at least to Clinch Mtn. But, if does cross Cumberlands would probably bank against Smokies. Stick there . For those in at least the western Great Valley, hope for that if u want frozen or snow with early week system.
  10. Yep. It has definitely put a hurting on us here. Crappy things what killed a great pattern getting ready to set in here. It along with the IOD was a thorn in our side all Winter last year.
  11. Tnwxnut, I see your concerns, particularly over there. Man, u all have been shortchanged irt snow again this season. I've been fortunate here with 25.1 inches so far. I sure hope something occurs that delivers for you all. Glad for the western forum snow lovers. Still believe there'll be a couple decent shots further east as well.
  12. Should of added what tnweathernut mentioned irt less blocking now. Best we can hope for is MJO propagation to ph. 8.
  13. I'm with you there bna. The trend has been realized,albeit slow , with this one . The MJO phase is the difference this time. Hopefully, the SE press, trend will be enough to put us all in the game for snow our of this b4 all is settled.
  14. Ive saw this setup so many times before. Patterns set up in a way that it allows that Great Valley gap to be even more prominent irt cold/snow void. MJO really hurt us royally at a crucial time. Can u imagine had the MJO stayed dormant and the pattern we had stayed in place, with the Arctic air being incorporated ; we'd all been digging out for weeks.
  15. Models clearly MJO 7ing it with the trough in the Rockies & Plains i.m.o. We'll see how well the blocking can cause the cold to come further SE than a typical Ph. 7 pattern.
  16. Man, sure hope the icing don't come to fruition. Arctic air close by, ph. 7 MJO and blocking lends to that in particular IF blocking is not strong. if it is and not too far west, less icing, more snow.
  17. Perfectly put Carvers ! Exactly what the deal is. Hopefully that block does shift back east and remains formidable. If so, we may not get that missing piece, "Arctic cold" this Winter but, still should get Snow/frozen precip at times. My worries regarding the MJO in my post yesterday are legit now, however.
  18. It would be our luck after virtually no MJO effects for it to affect us adversely now that it's active. Hopefully, not the case since , even if it does, we have an offsetting player . The -NAO.
  19. That mid week system still bares watching, particularly northern and western areas. Se trend ftw .
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