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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. Daniel Boone
    It appears the model's are having trouble not implementing the thorn that plagued the Valley in January. Shift everything a few miles east and would be great. Could be, cold infiltrates enough this go round to dislodge that Thorn.
  2. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, the model's will follow that pattern somewhat as that was ingested from this Winter's track's.
  3. Daniel Boone
    This looks to have the potential for a classic major March Snowstorm. Looks fairly likely the Plateau will receive a foot or more. Slow this thing down a tad and increase duration and a true to form old fashioned big March snowstorm would result with 1 to 2 feet Totals.
  4. Daniel Boone
    If we do get a decent March Storm,the 74-75 analog will have worked out somewhat. Of course no analogues going to be exact or even real close to carbon copy. I actually feel pretty confident in a decent snowfall this time. Hopefully it pans out
  5. Daniel Boone
    Here's a link with pics of a major Snowstorm that encompassed a large area, including ours. It stretched from NE Georgia all the way to NewYork. Mainly west side of Apps. It is Lee Counties biggest on record with Pennington gap recording about 3 feet ! My parents spoke of it being up to the windows on the level. The local paper has an article on it. Very interesting. Would post if there were room.
  6. Daniel Boone
    Lmao. Good one !!!
  7. Daniel Boone
    Exactly! Excellent factual point.
  8. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, same irt this area although annual precip avgs a bit more as Lee County averages 45 to 55 inches annually. More Mountain tops of course. Western end near Cumberland gap highest Valley range. Central, lowest. Snowfall as is case with where u are on average, 14 to 45 " annually with more Mountain tops. The high end being Northern Lee , the Keokee area on the western arm of the Wise Plateau, as it's pegged in the area. As u can see, much more on the Wise plateau in northern Lee and portions of Wise and Russell Co. I.e., Wise, Norton,Lebanon and Honaker.
  9. Daniel Boone
    Excellent analysis and well presented as usual Jeff.
  10. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, does pique the interest. Probably is enhanced be the angle of the Valley between those ridges going up to Monterey. You can visualize how that would probably enhance the heavier "streak" if you will, through there. Sort of a concentrated upward funnel of moisture transport.
  11. Daniel Boone
    Lt. Dusting here with very small flakes falling.
  12. Daniel Boone
    Lee County Data is corrupted due to the Pennington gap Site. Official NWS Site and Equipment set up not inline with NWS standards. Metal building 10 ft from Thermohydro Sensor. Site situated about 75-100 yards from Powell River only about 10 ft above bank level. It is within the Pennington gap Sewer Plant and manned by plant personnel. The Pennington Station was out of circuit up until a year or so ago due to erroneous data being reported from the previous site 1 m. South of Pennington at the Water Plant on the banks of Powell River and manned by plant employees. There was a time accurate Data was recorded from Pennington gap. WSWV Radio recorded data for about 12 years up until mid 90's, with staff Meteorologist Don Tooley doing the honors there . Long time official Observer Ernest Frye was prior to that beginning around 1950. Both those locations were more reflective of the Pennington gap area. If you want Accurate Forecasts and Model Data, you need accurate, well placed Stations with trustworthy, knowledgeable Observers.
  13. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, one of my Winter analogs. Hopefully it'll work out. '72 one failed.
  14. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, IF favorable phases coincide with strat induced blocking, chances of a storm is possible in March and a blockbuster at that. However, LATE March cuts down the odds particularly in lower eles..
  15. Daniel Boone
    Exactly Carvers. Yeah, hopefully we get that moderate snow area this weekend but displaced about 50 statute miles Se.
  16. Daniel Boone
    Yep. With this Pattern we need digging Clippers. The s.stream actually hurts us with those sometimes.
  17. Daniel Boone
    We are still slightly less than half the average Seasonal Snowfall here. 7.9" so far.
  18. Daniel Boone
    So, basically everyone needs to take a Chill pill, right?.
  19. Daniel Boone
    Lol. Not surprising really. I don't get how they picked that up and then completely lost it. How many snows , storms or clippers have we saw advertised recently within the 10 day window that has materialized.?...Very few. I'm basically down to having any hopes in one, of about 3 days on the horizon.
  20. Daniel Boone
    Flurries here. Dusting 2000 ft up.
  21. Daniel Boone
    Yeah. Feeling those vibes as well. I was thinking and in hopes Blocking would be setting up around now and things would align to where we'd pull off at least one major Snowfall for the Valley but, having doubts now. May be one of those Winters where all area's, NSEW record above average Snowfall while the great Valley is Avg. or below. If old Averages were still used, entire Valley would be well below. Who knows, with todays paltry averages, wouldn't take but one halfway decent Storm to go over the threshold.
  22. Daniel Boone
    That was 1986.
  23. Daniel Boone
    We got 13.5" here that day. 6" of that fell in an hour and 15 minutes that afternoon. The heaviest, straight down snow I've witnessed at that duration. Flakes were large, medium and small. Visibility was around 100 yards !
  24. Daniel Boone
    Looks almost carbon copy of current system. If so, BS . Ohio Valley would be under 4 feet of snow and ice.
  25. Daniel Boone
    Thanks for the uplifting posts Carvers. You made valid points as did Holston. Hopefully, ur right irt the MJO. There was a time I'd been completely delved n2 and saturated with the current data but, not anymore as my health prevents it. Terrible to seldom feel like doing things you enjoy. If it weren't for you guy's on here I'd be lost anymore. Those of you that aren't Mets, u r as good as and even better than many. It's a shame most in the Field r not as you all.
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