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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. The big la nina pac ridge very prominent. Decent Greenland blocking. If there was a y semblance of a southern stream that would be a pretty good setup. Also, shift that pac ridge east and quite possibly some northern stream action could produce.
  2. Yeah, considering if it's not hot with it and if September wasn't dry. My location was received about half the average for September so, hopefully won't affect them too much. Although,It has some as some leaves are brown, particularly on edges. Maples are coloring up good so far.
  3. Yeah, you're fortunate to get in on a decent part of the western flank. Only 0.21" here. Terrible !
  4. Same here. Although, November may turn rather cold 2nd half.
  5. Yeah, depressing. I was concerned it may shift east. Should of figured with that boundary sitting off the coast.
  6. 35 here yesterday morning with patchy frost. Some Valley locations in Lee County reported widespread frost and low 30's. Not as cold this morning as wind kept temps up some.
  7. 40 here this A. M.. May be patchy frost in the morning, especially in sheltered valley's.
  8. Well, looks like we're going to be getting what I've been rooting for. I'm with John in it staving off fire danger even if just has minimal effects on the future resultant pattern. An expansive area of wet soil will have at least somewhat of an impact.
  9. Yeah, solar flux did appear to be a major culprit. Also , the late season Hurricane that pumped very warm air into the high latts. had an effect as I recall.
  10. Not surprising from them. Enso state climatology.
  11. Looks good Howard. I think this Winter has a decent shot at being colder and snowier than last. PDO Looking better, NAtl SST profile should improve. Nina should weaken as Winter progresses. Oh .. let's not forget Jack's "cold pool".
  12. Right with you brother. Very depressing. I'm rooting for tropical activity or something to throw a monkey wrench into forecasted pattern.
  13. Yeah, you are so right buddy. Third year's are almost in a class of their own. Don't know exactly why. This Summer's Pattern attests to that. The lack of Atlantic Tropical activity; robust Pacific. Pretty much opposite of typical Nina.
  14. If Nina is the dominant driver , late fall and early Winter may buck the seasonal Euro November/ December Outlook.
  15. Wound up with 0.85" from the weekend system. Big help but, as you said, not nearly enough. At this juncture, I'm hoping for some tropical influence soon . I still am concerned for overall continued dryness possibly leading to drought conditions late Summer.
  16. The feared heat and drought conditions I suspected would probably arrive in June has unfortunately came to fruition. So far only 0.91" Rainfall has been measured this Month at my Home.
  17. Yep. Been watching that too. May offset any attempt at a hot/dry early Summer. Still have concerns of hot and dry mid summer on.
  18. Kmrx forecasted highs busted yesterday and today. Forecasted high yesterday: 77, actual 69. Forecasted high today : 74, Actual 67. Cloud cover and Rain was culprit but, that was expected. I'm curious to whether Model's busted or forecasters . If models were depicting correctly, quite possibly forecasters were adjusting to climatology. That can really burn you sometimes.
  19. Yeah, very much acted and looked like a tropical remnants setting.
  20. Large hail recorded throughout central and western Lee County last night and this afternoon. Dime size at my home east of Jonesville. Ping pong/ golf ball size Jonesville proper south and west. Trees were downed last night just west of Jonesville. 1-3 inches of rain was recorded within the area as well .
  21. Western Lee County picked up 1 to 2 inches of rain yesterday evening. Another .25 to.50" parts of same area this morning. Only a trace here.
  22. Wow ! Saw where SEKY reported 4" amounts as well. Wound up with 2.14" here.
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