Daniel Boone

Looks like guidance showing Dickenson County getting hit pretty good. Just a small shift South would put us back in that Zone. Still wiggle room. In this case, I'm hoping it doesn't as can do without the heavy Ice and it's effects. Hopefully, the whole area gets more snow with less Icing.

Exactly. I started to mention that I was sure you knew what I was talking about. I can remember the west to east One's as they'd report snow was already in west Tennessee and moving our way. The whole Forum would get a solid hit. No mixing issues.

Getting an old fashioned solid Snow Storm for the great Valley is about like finding a Needle in a Haystack anymore. There was a Time when we would get them fairly regularly. I recall many where Snow would move up the Valley. Those were fun Time's.

HRRR and Nam 3k has nearly always had somewhat of a warm bias here. I think it has to do with the ingested Data ; the quality and siting of official repoting Station's. As far as here in Lee County, it is a Fact regarding the Station's. Neither official Station is within NWS official Guidelines irt Siting. Both are within 10 feet of Metal Structures. Also, the Airport Station's are governed by the FAA and are not as precise as NWS is irt Temperature accuracy guidelines. Allow 4 degree deviation either side of actual .

Yeah, it'll probably pop a Chicago to Detroit Blizzard as it ramps SE Ridging .

Same here. Good night all .

I couldn't remember anything about that area. I do remember Bristol getting 5 as well and Johnson City getting just Rain.. We wound up with a soaking after changing over as well.

They're going by the furthest North Model's apparently or either last nights Runs.

The 18z Euro had 4-6 10:1 ratio. Possible heavy front end Thump. Dec. 5, 02 comes to mind although no ice involved. We picked up 5 inches before changing to rain from a LP in Western Ky that slid East and transferred to Coast. It dumped all Snow from an east west line Jackson Kentucky Northward and across Northern and central VA. You may remember that one. Think tn line South had predominantly rain.

That's a blocking signature irt Temp outlook and probably the Precip to a large degree as well.

Yeah, Dt is a Character.

Couple inches in Norton. High knob easily 3-4" just eyeballing. A guy that came from Pound said there was a multi vehicle wreck on 23 near Pound .

Dryden, just east of Pennington gap got 2 inches on grass and raised surfaces. Just went through there.

Extremely heavy, convective one here now. Visibility under 100 yards. Large Graupel and Flakes.

Last band went through and had between a half to three quarter's of an inch on grass, raised surfaces and Snow Board. Sun came out briefly and Temp rose to 34 and melted it in exposed area's. Was hoping would of stayed Overcast.

Hello Cincinnati!!! Big time Snow!

Heavy burst now.

Steady lt to moderate Snow here with a quarter to half inch so far. 31 degrees.

CMC in the middle on Target.

Yeah, think the GFS SE bias it used to have caused alot of that but, still the north trend seems to happen more than not. Maybe just not to the degree it used to .

Many , especially younger Gen Mets tend to do the Climatology thing instead of looking over Data and forecasting from that even if it is a rare occurrence such as an Ice Storm. At least mention the possibility several days out and implement it moreso if Data continues showing it as we get Close to the Event.

Yeah, couple things fouled the projected long range pattern up from what was being advertised. The Western Ridge, in my mind, being the biggest.

I'm pulling for you guys over there. I hate when all around gets snow and leaves an area in a void.

Agree.

Yeah, timing of it coming out did too but, larger synoptics plays a Part in that.