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Daniel Boone

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  1. Daniel Boone
    Hopefully, we keep enough cold in Canada that even with the troubled NPAC, we still score as strong Blocking can still get the Job done.
  2. Daniel Boone
    As we've discussed, we need any semblance of an Alaskan Vortex or GOA Low to erode or shift away.
  3. Daniel Boone
    You're not wrong, that does hurt as it cuts off CPF into Canada. However, with enough cold in Canada with the other features in place at 500mb you can still score . Blocking is how you overcome not great features on the Pacific side. Ultimately those features usually erode or shift away if Blocking overwhelms.
  4. Daniel Boone
    It was what you'd categorize as a Clipper/Miller B hybrid imo. Similar to the March '09 , I believe that bombed Memphis with nearly 10".
  5. Daniel Boone
    That's the one I'm referring to too..I don't recall it being a Clipper but, may of been. Thinking back, I remember it did drop down to our west and then curved ene. We had about an inch of Upslope behind it. Another very cold clipper dropped 5" a few days later.
  6. Daniel Boone
    Nashville got close to 8" in January 03 . That was a LP System. SE KY got 8" ftom it as it tracked ene. We got 5" here as we were on the eastern flank and got bands. The solid concentrated area ran from Central Tn up through SEKY and on into West Va.
  7. Daniel Boone
    Looks to me they're hugging one Model . Look at overnight Ensemble Runs and you can guess which. May or may not be right. Today's Data appears to of maybe flattened that Southern Plains Ridge then.
  8. Daniel Boone
    Exactly. Need that out of there !
  9. Daniel Boone
    Merry Christmas to you Brother !
  10. Daniel Boone
    Larry's an excellent Medium / LR Forecaster.
  11. Daniel Boone
    You're not wrong. I don't care alot for them anymore. Besides , they're run so often now why are they even called Weeklies. As far as the colder solutions now, they are late thru the Gate. The Controls picked up on the colder solutions sooner. The Blocking should assure the colder pattern as a Sw displaced 50-50 looks to be going to be in Place. IF that Feature were to not materialize then the cold won't be as deep or pronounced.
  12. Daniel Boone
    Good work man !
  13. Daniel Boone
    My reply from earlier just posted. My phone really fouled up tonight. It's sticking and closing out on me. Tan cleaner and took some things off but still not up to par.
  14. Daniel Boone
    -80 in Prospect Creek Alaska Jan. 23 1971. It was coldest US Record. Coldest lower 48 is -70 Rogers Pass Montana in 1954. -83 NA Record in Snag. Yukon.
  15. Daniel Boone
    That Block will either cause that northern plains/ Southern prairies LP to weaken and drift SE or shift South.
  16. Daniel Boone
    You have the maps listed opposite Larry. The bottom is 19th.
  17. Daniel Boone
    Pretty Standard La Nina looks like.
  18. Daniel Boone
    That does happen sometimes if Blocks strengthen. Retrogression. There's been quite a number of Occasions of that transpiring. Thing is, it doesn't always of which is a no brainer. Depends on forcing and resistance.
  19. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, he's pretty concerned.
  20. Daniel Boone
    Good post man !
  21. Daniel Boone
    Yw !
  22. Daniel Boone
    Happy Anniversary !
  23. Daniel Boone
    Depends on strength of each really. Location of NAO as well.
  24. Daniel Boone
    Probably the increased likelihood of a Strong Block and bridge over along with possibly MJO becoming favorable would be my wag what's tipping them. It'll take a bit before my confidence builds. Main thing the next few days imo is to watch the progression of the NAO. Then that of the AR.
  25. Daniel Boone
    That's what we talked about and what it's going to take to spoil the warm pattern early. Still not sold it'll happen though. If it doesn't, that massive nina HP and freaking GOA low are Staples for awhile.
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