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Everything posted by Daniel Boone
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January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Daniel Boone replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Hopefully, it'll be shoved westward by HLB. Although La niña forcing may hamper that. We can still get cold enuff even without strong cold advection. Even can occasionally get enough eastern Canadian cold to help out. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Daniel Boone replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks good for Miller b/a hybrids. Ala 95-96 . Clippers too I suppose, particularly when Ridging pops in the West. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Daniel Boone replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Look at that "oddity" Jan. 96 one ! How often do u see that pattern occur ?! -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Daniel Boone replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Excellent Post !!! -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Daniel Boone replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Oh yeah, definitely agree! It's sure not the 60s and 70s anymore, when we scored regardless of a crap Pac. We wound up with 5.5 from last System. Claiborne, Bell and Lee all got more than forecasted. RGEM was on the money. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Daniel Boone replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
With Strong blocking, even with a crappy Pac, it can work out 4 us as long as enuff cold can be mustered up. Also , blocking should at least occasionally congest the Pac flow and buckle a Ridge in the West. Hopefully, timing with storms will work with that. But, yeah, at least a modest change would really up our odds. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Daniel Boone replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Evolutions looking about like we had envisioned. Hopefully, that will be the case. If so, depending on the speed, could be fun and games (plural ☺)thru much of January and possibly Feb...*hopefully I don't pull a Jeff and jinx us . Thanks to all the work Carvers, Holston, John et al do . You guys are the best ! -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Daniel Boone replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
What we hope happens here is once the SSW Affects are underway the HLB will be strongly entrenched and the WAR will gradually erode sw to Ne, and allow troughs to undercut into the SE. Neg. tilted troughs can really dump on us snowwise. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Daniel Boone replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Alot of oddities in the Weather these days. There was a time when A pretty much equalled B as far as cause and effect. As with the Gl block, War linkage. Used 2 b a rarity to almost non existent in the cold Season. Not anymore it appears. Could be the Atlantic warm phase. Alot of variables working in conjunction . Warmer overal NH. If we could get a consistent 50-50 low, that linkage wouldn't occur. Those ssts off NF could be partial culprit to that missing piece. -
Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Made a trek to Middlesboro this afternoon . Along the way you could see differences in amounts but, not frequent, generally a couple miles apart. The greatest visually estimated depth was about 2 miles west of Jonesville, 6 to 8" (Pines were weighed down) reaching about 2 miles b4 lowering to 4 to 5" until reaching Ewing of which 5 to 6 " appeared to be the amounts from there to Middlesboro. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Daniel Boone replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm not saying alot now other than along the lines of earlier opinion and Carvers in that Id rather the SSW wouldn't happen. Pattern we have been steadily moving n2 would be great going into January. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Daniel Boone replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Isotherm just posted an excellent explanation on what we're discussing Carvers, in the MA forum. Makes sense. -
Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm on a Ridge so just 6 here. Down in the Valleys around Rose Hill are typically some of the coldest in the County so, that stations reading of -1 most likely accurate. -30 readings reported back in Feb. 96 in Rose Hill. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Daniel Boone replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
yep. Like you brother, I'd read on it somewhere a few days ago and it had completely slipped my mind. ( product of being an antique on my part I guess. I'll blame it in that anyway). With the current pattern, I'd about rather it not happen as well. That one you mention actually ruined a good pattern for us. It helped the Rockies. ( as if they need any irt Snow, lol.). -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Daniel Boone replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
The good thing about that is generally a ridge extending from Greenland all the way to the SE occurs during the warm seasons. It's keying on trough Nw pendulum ridge SE. I Remember in 95-96, troughs going n2 NW along with strong Greenland blocking and that scenario never happened. Although, a semblance of a SE Ridge would try to pop in conjunction , i.e., short mild flooding periods that winter as cutters shot up between the 2.. of course, the dreaded Hi Amp Warm phases MJO could possible cause that config.. -
Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Pretty much missed out on the streamers here 2day. They traversed thru Harlan Co. N2 Wise, Co. To our North. Then Claiborne southern Hancock and Hawkins southward to our South. -
Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, actually meant to mention it was best several days out for our area. Canadians ftw for our area ! -
Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
5.1" Total here. Rgem best. GFS worst as far as at short range for Lee County once again. Don't know what they did to the GFS that last upgrade but, it consistently underforecasts Snowfall and precip in general for this area...could be bad data from the area having been fed n2 it. Couple sites notorious for that in Lee County. Could be overemphasizing downsloping. -
Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
4.2 in Jonesville. Some places had periods of larger flake Snow than others of which mounted up a good bit more. -
Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
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Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Ground becoming white in Jonesville. -
Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Rain began mixing in Jonesville, Lee County, Va at 4 and then sleetetd for about 15 mins. Now all Snow. -
Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Sure hope things work out 4 you all back that way with the backing synoptic. Even without that you'll still do decent with the banding, I believe. -
Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
Daniel Boone replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Big ole 11 inch lollipop for Wise. High Knob and Black Mountain over a foot !- 847 replies
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
Daniel Boone replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Kmrx going with latest sref. Saw a conversation with Ricky Mathews (wcyb Met,),on Twitter. Ricky brought up the earlier 5.3" plume for Knox. They rebuttled with latest run downtrend I guess why they're going as low on totals.- 847 replies
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