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Everything posted by Daniel Boone
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January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Daniel Boone replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Whether this makes inroads here remains to be seen. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Daniel Boone replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Conflicting signals and pattern drivers causing model mayhem. We definitely need some real cold to get into the mix while we have the blocking if we really want a major widespread snowstorm imo. Can still occur with marginal but, unlikely to be widespread. -
January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
Daniel Boone replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Lol. Gfs is really fouled up irt that since last "upgrade" . Ive recorded 4 snowfalls here this season and on several occasions it showed that on its runs and it turned out to be snow, to no surprise. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Daniel Boone replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Good post. Going on back, Jan../ Feb. 1979 had similar periods that produced abundant snows in the forum area. Btw, saw where CPC has our area above avg. Temps and precip in the 8 to 14 day. The map shows a linear above norm. 40° South, avg to below 40° N. I forget which model was showing that in extended yesterday . But, they went with it like they did in December when Christmas period was projected to be mild. . -
Jan 11-12 Mississippi Mauler: Will it or won't it?
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The surprise ones are always great. I don't know exact what the culprit is, particularly with the SR Model's, but they appear to be a bit more off lately. I know there's been some talk of the MR one's not getting as much upper air data ingested. Forget reasoning but, did read on it somewhere.- 112 replies
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Jan 11-12 Mississippi Mauler: Will it or won't it?
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Nice John . Ur in a nice location there for snow within the area. Had a report of 1.5 in western Lee County. Great to have you for reports from there as well as your historical data and insight buddy !- 112 replies
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Jan 11-12 Mississippi Mauler: Will it or won't it?
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Temp . 34 here now as it snow continues but have lost about quarter inch from melting in exposed areas as solar thru clouds along with above freezing ambient temp. does it's trick. Total was 1.2"- 112 replies
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Jan 11-12 Mississippi Mauler: Will it or won't it?
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Saw that in Radar. Doubt it makes it up here. Looks like precips getting shunted up this way now. So, just over an inch prob. Be out Total.- 112 replies
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Jan 11-12 Mississippi Mauler: Will it or won't it?
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
A tad over an inch here now. Very light snow falling now . Melting started taking place as it is now 32.6.- 112 replies
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Jan 11-12 Mississippi Mauler: Will it or won't it?
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
- 112 replies
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Jan 11-12 Mississippi Mauler: Will it or won't it?
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I do too. Last system was to have rain involved and was an all snow event here.- 112 replies
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Jan 11-12 Mississippi Mauler: Will it or won't it?
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Measured 3/4" At 9:32 . Back to small flakes after a period of dime to nickel sized.- 112 replies
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Jan 11-12 Mississippi Mauler: Will it or won't it?
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
- 112 replies
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Jan 11-12 Mississippi Mauler: Will it or won't it?
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
- 112 replies
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Jan 11-12 Mississippi Mauler: Will it or won't it?
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
- 112 replies
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Jan 11-12 Mississippi Mauler: Will it or won't it?
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Steady lt.to moderate snow. Between quarter and half inch so far.- 112 replies
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January 7 - 8 ULL obs and nowcast
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I guess they didn't want the general public to see how bad their forecasted amounts busted. It was understandable with the waffling model Data. So, id just shown the correct shaded amounts if I were them. Could be they actually believed their portrayed amounts were the case as they get few reports from the area, and some are from citizen estimates. -
January 7 - 8 ULL obs and nowcast
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
See they did post a couple of actual spotter reports from Lee County. Although, they whitewashed the rest as if the reported lollipops were in just those very small areas. I went to Pennington gap today. They had 5 as well. Dryden between there and Big Stone reported 4 to 5" I saw pictures from there. So, those higher totals were more widespread than indicated at least in Lee County.. -
5 inches of heavy, wet snow. Power outages reported.
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January 7 - 8 ULL obs and nowcast
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
There's power outages here in Lee County. The amounts have been pretty uniform with generally 5-6" reported Eastern sections with 3 or so far western section of County. Melting taking place now as Temp. Is 34. Still some very lt. Snow falling. It was an all snow event here. -
January 7 - 8 ULL potential
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
As suspected, HRRR was grossly overdoing Downsloping here. In actuality, all short range underforecasted amounts here. Closest was RGEM and NAM 12k I suppose. Euro /Cmc as far as Med.range Mods. -
January 7 - 8 ULL potential
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
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January 7 - 8 ULL potential
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
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