SnowHole413

6z GFS is a huge hit

2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

That is a ways off, Steve.

December may look something like this:

That look sucks man, hopefully it’s not that bad

Winter cancelled 

18 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

NICE Brotha!! Congratulations! 

 

Gen 4...850 or 600??? 

 

My good buddy who was out of the sport for 14 years, picked up a new 18 850 TNT back in February...he loves it!!  Things got some serious low end grunt...and can run hard up top too. 

 

I have an 18 Yamaha Sidewinder RTX...sledding is so much fun..think snow Powderboy.  

19 gen 4 850 mxz XRS

im coming off a 600 so the 850 is going to be so fun. I could feel the torque just taking it off the trailer and into the shed. I’m always thinking snow

Picked up the new sled today. Should be a great year to break her in

Epic winter coming this year

1 hour ago, weathafella said:

Too early for relevance 

Not necessarily. It very well “could” be the onset of a more robuster recovery season. Solar minimum could be a reason to this late summer snow cover across the higher latitudes. 

3 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

The only issue I see with -nao is this propensity to form in late winter early spring. The only heart of winter I can recall is Dec-Jan 2011. The QBO was favorable for ATL blocking last winter and we were just able to sneak it in March. It should be a ‘it’s just a matter of time’ but tendenacies cannot be ignored. 

Yeah I was disappointed last year with how favorable everything looked. I have read some articles in the past stating -NAO is more likely in solar minuimum and when it is ascending and + NAO is favorable when solar cycle is declining. Heres article if interested 

http://lasp.colorado.edu/media/projects/SORCE/meetings/2015/presentations/Session 2/d_Mursula_SORCE_talk_Public.pdf

It’s just a matter of time before the NAO averages negative for DJF, this has been an impressive stretch of positive NAO winters for the past 7 years or so. 

QBO looks like it will be transitioning from negative to positive before or during the winter and that is not terrible if you want to see a -NAO. 

Moderate El Niño starting to look like a likely scernario now

Jamstec blows but for its June update it’s coming in cold and dry for New England next winter with a moderate El Niño.

Looks like September 10th and 11th could be a potential minimum for sea ice. According to nsidc, 4.649 million km2 was reported for both dates. 

3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

18 gfs is pure porn in the long range

dam nice cane lol