SnowHole413

It’s snow/sleet hard here... estimating 1.5 inches

Expecting 1 inch in my hood, we take

We take it

Just now, CoastalWx said:

The gfs says nothing is over, nothing! You can’t just turn it off! 

It’s getting ridiculous lol

-NAO blips seem to be most likely going forward, however, sell on a full fledged NAO block this year

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

At this point, even if we had a historic run and I saved some face, its still a missed call in my book. This season has not behaved how I had anticipated. But I would def. like to save some face. lol

At this point, I'll take what I can get.

If SSW didn't occur, you would've nailed it I think

We lean colder

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Colder 

It’s coming

12 minutes ago, mreaves said:

April’s Maple in Canaan, VT today around noon.  

Awesome! It will be my first time heading up to northern Vermont to ride so I’m pumped, ride on man

Just now, powderfreak said:

Not that literally anyone cares, but good to see the Adirondacks having a great winter too.  They've been smoked in a few synoptic storms after years of not even smoking cirrus.

Yeah I was up in old forge during the January 20th storm and it was a straight powder keg up there, I think they got 17 inches. 

2 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

A torched rainer would make sense going into one of the biggest ski weekends of the year.

I'm supposed to be in N Conway Fri - Tues. 

I feel you, I have a trip planned to go up to island pond that weekend......

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

There’s not some warm Rainer to Mainer late week lol. Some of those posts are ridiculous. It’s another double barreled low with coastal redevelopment as the ens all show . Decent cold high though not as cold as the Tuesday storm . Another wintry mix deal 

Thats exactly what I see

Just now, dryslot said:

I endorse this 12z Euro run, That's one big thumping up here.

Much colder that run, Good hit for many

Just now, dryslot said:

That one will be dependent on where this one actually goes i think.

Yeah I’m going to worry about the first storm first 

10 inches, it’s a good start

7 minutes ago, White Rain said:

I thought this was supposed to happen on Jan 20th!   Tough to get excited about snow until it’s Within 2-3 days the way this season is going.

We really need a good 6-10” event to get excited about winter again. We have had more than out allotment of rain and useless frozen for the season already.  

It’s been a tough year for sure but things are finally starting to look good. Wednesday is going to snow and beyond looks good. Possible -NAO, active, favorable MJO, I like what I see.

I think this is it, things are finally taking a turn for the better! It’s going to be a long couple weeks of tracking threats 

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Clipper behind that systems on the GFS next Friday too, At least it looks to be active.

Looks cold as well

Good trends so far at 12z, I think this one is coming.

This will probably turn into a 6-12 inch event for all of SNE verbatim 

GFS looking good for 2/13

Champs

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

I think February and March end up wth above normal snow.

Agreed but I’m getting drained by this winter. The cutters and failed opportunities take a toll eventually 

slight -NAO towards the end 

Looking at the QBO data and it’s looks like the December value was at 8. The positive QBO could be making it harder for high latitude blocking to set up. It’s like the SSW wants to set up blocking but the state of the QBO isn’t letting it happen. The progression does look similar to 94-95. However, I still have hope for the NAO to turn negative as the long range guys keep thinking it will.