Itstrainingtime

MU Weather Center The talk of a "major snowstorm" late next week has merit. The MJO is in Phase 8, & we'll also have a ridge in the West & west-based, -NAO. All of this *could* add up to a bona fide Nor'easter. However, you can't shovel potential!

@sauss06 - there should be a new video coming from the guy in Mammoth...they picked up 55" so far from the current storm and it isn't finished yet: https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/the-village Edit: and here it is: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sDIeaJAAjR8

Don't need much of a reason to take off and head to the beach.

I was trying to figure out why Blizz was so quiet when the runs were coming in last night and then I remembered he was perched on top of a light pole on Market Street in Philly.

Also, there was a very heavy burst of snow at home around 1:20 this morning. Near zero visibility for a couple of minutes. Totally unexpected.

Dear Central PA Weather Morning Crew: You're welcome. Thank me now or thank me later. This place was DEAD last evening...2 completely disjointed and meaningless convos going in our 2 threads centered on alcohol prices at sporting events and something related to Texas between the Windy guy from Harrisburg and the Snow Plow Driver from Dillsburg. Yes...Texas. We were talking about Texas man, we're talking about Texas. Texas. Not the Icon. Not the GFS. We're in here talking about Texas. We're talking about Texas. We're talking about Texas... Sensing this, I said to myself "you know what...you've been excited about next week's potential for a couple of weeks now. It's time to step up your game and do something about it." So, even though I needed to be in the office early, I stayed up until 1:30 this morning. I, yes I provided updates on the GFS. The GEM. The UKMET...and finally the Euro. I even posted a freaking snow map or two!!! I resurrected the threat next week after 18z went to hell. I brought it back to life. Now, let's go! Already this morning, models don't look as epic as they did overnight. Let's keep the mojo flowing here!

GFS, Euro, Ukmet and GEM all have huge east coast snows. Differences are where they jackpot...some to our south and some to our northeast. All of them have maxima measured in feet.

Clean sweep by the overnight major league models - Euro is a solid 7-14" for much of our area, with parts of MD, VA & DE dealing with 18-24".

Canadian is 6-12" for the LSV and an incredible 15-30" for MD/DE.

Drool-worthy New England blizzard:

GFS is MUCH better for the LSV. Looks like warning amounts, especially east of I81. Decent snows farther N&W.

Icon tonight - seems like more and more guidance is showing this:

Wife's can of beer at the Flyers game 2 weeks back was $16.50. Michelob Ultra...nothing high end. LOL My bottle of water checked in at the value price of $7.

Our oldest son is there right now too. I told him to stay off of the poles...

I guess it's going to get windy later on: URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 431 PM EST Thu Feb 13 2025 PAZ036-056>059-063>066-140300- /O.NEW.KCTP.WI.Y.0004.250213T2131Z-250214T0300Z/ Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York- Lancaster- Including the cities of Lebanon, Harrisburg, Lancaster, Carlisle, Chambersburg, Hershey, York, Pottsville, Newport, and Gettysburg 431 PM EST Thu Feb 13 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...West-northwest winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...Adams, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Lancaster, Lebanon, Perry, Schuylkill, and York Counties. * WHEN...Until 10 PM EST this evening. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. For high wind safety and preparedness information, visit weather.gov/wind. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit weather.gov/StateCollege Lambert/Howard/Beaty

Looks about right...

Wow...all this without a Wind Advisory. I know nothing about this model...if only...

My wife literally just texted me asking me why I didn't warn her about the wind, she said it sounds like the house is coming down. I don't hear a thing here in the office.

Maytown International just gusted to 45.

Indeed it was. Yesterday, there was a WWA for the entire CTP area...except Lancaster and York. In fact, every county in PA north and west of here had some sort of advisory...this happens a LOT. When I saw the Euro snow map (this is why I hate snow maps, because I get sucked into these things) I had to "laugh" that even with a storm off the east coast, areas west of here still managed to do better than we do. It's uncanny.

Minima is the lowest value within a sequence of numbers - the minima for our region on that map was in Lanco. I was having fun at our expense.

I still feel good about next week. Not sure about a "big dog" but I feel like a warning event is something we can realistically hope for...

I missed that...who said it?

I was trying to take one for the team.

I didn't see the Euro 6z but today's 12z looks way less amped to me than the overnight run?