Also, to be clear - I haven't given up yet at all. I'm discouraged. Selfishly, I want everything covered. Roads included. Give me a few hours where it looked like deep winter. It's been a long time.
Admittedly...I'm fighting negativity hard right now for this very reason. It has been brutal the past several years along the southern tier. I haven't shoveled in nearly 4 years. (Last year I did have a decent event but even that didn't amount to anything on paved surfaces)
I post much less on weekends as we're usually on the go. Weekends are follow the leader, and to be clear, I'm not the one in front. Weekends are "yes, dear" days. Chief reason why we've made it this far. I know my role.
Going to be a wild ride the next 48 or so hours.
I just don't buy the Euro's 150-200 mile wide band of 1-3". I think the gradient ends up much tighter.
Are you sure that map you shared was what they were forecasting, or was that one model simulation? I saw something similar on a different station but the met stressed that what they showed was NOT their prediction. They were showing different potential scenarios.
Temp is 29.4 with light snow - what your wife reported came through here a short time ago and bolstered my total to 0.7". "Good snows" lasted about 15 minutes.
Blasphemy! I thought 100% sure last night I was in line for 15.5"!
BTW - it is a truly beautiful scene here right now. A nice snowfall that is now coating all surfaces and 31 degrees. Time for a walk.
This dude predicted a light to moderate snowstorm during the 10 days surrounding New Year's 63 days ago. And while climo says that probabilities are high during that time, this is still a pretty good take in what was forecast by many to be a dud winter.
Of course, it hasn't happened yet.