Itstrainingtime

Enjoy it...might be a tad jealous.

Great visual...how much do you think is up on the ridge tops?

Steady cloud movement and 38 here. Officially, Lancaster is up to 41 now. That is exactly what CTP forecast yesterday!

On the bright side, EskimoJoe just bailed on winter. We should be golden now.

A few sprinkles here now, temp has pulled back from 40.4 to 37.6.

It's actually turning into a pretty nice morning here...I've had sun since 8am and am now sitting at 40 degrees.

Well...today's event was a crapshoot to begin with. This isn't a real bust unless you rely on snow maps. But then again maybe you're being sarcastic...:)

I don't really disagree with you. My main point is that CTP is often in a no-win situation. Last winter they were so bullish a couple of times that their forecasted amounts didn't seem to match weather logic. There was a storm in late January that cut...it seemed obvious that warm air aloft was going to significantly limit snowfall amounts. The storm was arriving on a Saturday. Early in the day CTP was forecasting 8"-10" for MDT when previous storms typically produced no more than 2"-3" in this general area. MDT ended up with 3". It was a pretty big bust and it wasn't the only one. To your point, there are always opportunities to improve communication with the public and perhaps yesterday was one such time. Right now I have light white rain and 36.

I know I'm probably going to be alone on this one, but I think they're handling tomorrow well. They were "aggressive" in forecasting today's ice event that ended up producing a 5 minute period of sleet and zero ice accretion down this way. Now they're being a bit more conservative for tomorrow and people are critical about that. I believe, admittedly without numbers to back this up, that playing things conservatively will work out better more often than being bullish. At least it seems that way to me.

CTP was bullish on their maps more than once last year and really got burned. The 1/20 storm comes to mind. They were calling for 8' - 10" in Harrisburg the morning of the event, I think they ended up with 3" or less.

I'm sorry I wasn't clear...I'm not talking about CTP's maps, I'm talking about snow maps from models. I think @daxx actually kept track of how much snow he was to get based on one of the weather models last year (might have been the Euro) and it was over 300".

I agree with you...I guess I take pretty much any snow map with a grain of salt and nothing more than that. @daxx and I have had a few "discussions" on snow maps.

I think that most of us know not to take ANY map seriously whatsoever, especially in a situation like this. Pick your favorite dart, let 'er rip and see what happens...

That is what is exciting about tomorrow. I have zero expectations (and no one else in our immediate area should) so with that, it will be fun to see if we have a few passing rain/snow showers, a few inches of snow, or something in between.

Shut 'yo mouth, my friend.

Looks like I picked a great day to work from home.

Was just going to post the same thing. My temp is 32.4 now under the heavier rates.

Might not be a lot of accumulation but it could be a fun little dynamic event for a while.

Thanks and yes...she's got 500 miles to Boone, NC.

Thank you very much! What you told me is what I told her. Appreciate your thoughts...

Nice batch of precip moving up into Adams/Franklin...my wife is heading over to 81 and taking it all the way down to 77. Think any of that precip is freezing on contact?

36 here at 6:45am. Hoping for a non-event so my wife can get out on the roads for North Carolina.

CCB? I think rates are part of it.

Another factor is rates...seems like the rain might be moderately heavy for a while Sunday. If that's the case at 32 degrees freezing rain won't be an issue on roadways.

I don't think definitive statements can be made in this situation. I can give you a boatload of storms where Harrisburg N&W was locked in ice while I'm 36 and rain. Could it be a mess here? Absolutely. But I wouldn't be shocked if it's mostly wet after sunrise Sunday here.