Itstrainingtime

0z Ukie says Monday is also the Bubbler storm. This model used to be pretty darn reliable...time for it to get it's mojo back...

CTP with a HWO dor for a general 1-3" tonight south of the pike.

Awesome job guys, all of you. Bring 'em home!

The EPS sure made me feel a lot better...

Suppression, or no vorts at all?

Brian I get it completely and agree. It's been one of the most difficult 20"+ seasons i can ever remember, and i allowed myself to get fully invested in the upcoming time period. It seems like each day another piece gets pulled out of our puzzle and pretty soon i'm going to have a nice frame with nothing left inside of it. Thing is...things could look totally different at this time tomorrow! Or at 18z.

That's not funny, it's depressing. Sometimes it just doesn't work out. We'll keep watching and hoping but yeah...

Man...MU's 7 day forecast is uninspiring to say the least. A possible "brush" with light snow or flurries tomorrow night, followed by rain, cold, rain, cold...and dry. The ONLY snow in the 7 day is tomorrow night's flurries.

One thing is for certain...no one can say with any certainty what's going to happen. So many moving pieces and what each piece of energy ultimately does will sorta dictate how the trailing piece does. We have an active period coming up with chances and that's plenty good enough. For now. :)

@psuhoffman said something this evening that I agree with 100% - I think the chances of snow the next 10-14 days is quite high, but the chance of a big dog snowstorm has dropped. Once again it seems that progressive flow will dampen things out enough that we just don't get the amplification we need. So if that does become a reality, and I'm not giving up by any means...I hope the 12z Euro depiction for Monday works out for us.

Yep, and just to clarify...the ONLY way I trade snow is a 100% guarantee I'm getting a biggie in return...

I agree with everything you said...honestly, if we were looking at 4 possible events i would trade 3 of them for 1 big one if i could. 6z NAM is actually targeting MD/VA for Friday, and NC/VA/MD for Sunday into Monday. In March, I'd much rather have a single 10"+ storm rather than a 2", 4", and 4" or something like that. I love all snow but a couple of inches in March is kind of like a tease...now you see it, and very quickly thereafter you don't. I want something that will survive one full day of March sun, and therefore it needs to be significant.

Oh my. 55 mph winds is fairly "typical" of high wind events in this area...but when you're up at hurricane force well...that's a frightening situation. I sincerely hope no one has been injured.

Thanks for posting that...I was curious how hard she was blowing last night. Mid-50s gusts down here in Lanco, sounds like the models were pretty much spot on. Nice to know they do well with winds.

East Donegal Township (Maytown)

Wind is howling and lights are flickering...

Mine are as well. For whatever reason that hasn't resulted in a lack of outages in the past.

Just received the opening salvo with a house-shaking gust. So it begins...

@CarlislePaWx You should be in on the action soon...

Yep...I hate wind. Gonna be a long 24 hours... Well, I'll take a nice 25mph breeze with 2' of snow on 2nd thought.

Looks like the winds are still a couple of hours away? I thought we were to be blowin' in the wind by this point...

THAT is a very impressive ensemble mean at this range. If that ain't a good honking i don't know what is... We've had so many long range threats this winter turn into turds. Let's hope this one locks in and gets better. There are things to be cautiously excited about...but yeah...

Umm...you must not be an avid kite-ist like my wife and I. Do you have any idea what those kind of winds would do to a kite? We're looking for 10-15 mph optimally.

Oh. That's a game changer. Well, a lot of people get hung up driving across that bridge...combination of height, turns, narrow lanes and low railings are enough to have people stationed on both sides to drive people across in their cars.

Hoping the storm incoming day #10 is the one...