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Everything posted by Itstrainingtime
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Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Itstrainingtime replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I actually drove to Rehoboth Beach, DE on 1/24/2000 to watch it snow the next day because it was supposed to miss us wide right here. Ended up spending a couple of extra nights since it snowed more here than it did there. As a beach nut I was so excited to go and watch a huge storm at the ocean...oh how I wish I would have stayed home... I don't remember the storm you're talking about...though i remember 4/6/1982 very well. 9" of cold powder WITH drifting...on April 6th. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Itstrainingtime replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Feb '83 which made my list was forecast to be a 4-8" kind of deal right up until the morning it started. It quickly escalated from that to 8-16", 12-24", and finally 18-28". From 2-5pm I received 12" in that storm. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Itstrainingtime replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I believe 'ya...I must have been too busy posting on here to notice. Valentine's day storm was sleet...I mean sweet. How much did you get in '93? I recall Chambersburg topped 30"... -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Itstrainingtime replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Those are the best... My memory of '78 is somewhat hazy now, nearly 42 years later. I know it was a Miller B that only affected extreme northern/northeast MD up into New England. Many in the far northeast US benchmark this storm as the granddaddy of them all. Amounts of 30"-40" were common and winds gusted to 100 mph (?) out on the cape. Lancaster county was fortunate to get into an intense deformation band and we ripped snow overnight...I went to bed with green grass and woke up around 5am with over 1' of snow and true blizzard conditions. As a 12 year old that was pretty cool stuff. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Itstrainingtime replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Another great storm us older guys remember is 1978. (PD1) We were forecast to get light snow/flurries and I ended up with 16" of wind-driven snow that left a 9' drift in our driveway. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Itstrainingtime replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I had a hard time leaving 1/22/2016 off my top #3. It was a great storm - one thing that scared the crap out of me was how close the dry slot got to us. I remember waking up early Saturday morning and being horrified by this huge dry slot that was moving N-NW out of the Chesapeake bay region. It made it to about the Mason/Dixon line JUST to our southeast as the pivot began. Areas affected by that dry slot lost 10-12" compared to surrounding areas that never dry slotted. I don't recall any mixing with that storm...I might (probably) am wrong. There was a separate storm in 2017? that we tainted for several hours between maybe 5am - 9am? Edit: March 13, 2017 we had a storm where those of us S&E of Harrisburg tainted for 4-5 hours during the morning. (See above) It was not modeled well, but Eric Horst was all over it screaming on Twitter that Lancaster was going to taint even though no model was showing it. Again, it was that onshore SE wind that did us in that morning... -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Itstrainingtime replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I did not lose power. Go on YouTube and pull up some of the Weather Channel video...classic stuff! -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Itstrainingtime replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That storm blew out the windows in the old Spectrum in Philadelphia. Flyers were home and playing at the time. Game was suspended after the 1st period. Winds in Philly gusted to hurricane force. That storm was modeled incredibly, especially at that time. It seemed certain that the entire east coast was going to be crushed 5-7 days out. You would have appreciated the severe aspect of it...squall line raced through Florida with tornadoes and wide spread damage. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Itstrainingtime replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
1996 was modeled to miss south until about 48 hours or so before the event. It was one of those great storms where during the final hours before the event the amounts getting increased. Dramatically. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Itstrainingtime replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yes, I was just comparing the snowiest week of each of those years. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Itstrainingtime replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The storm of all storms. Had it been all snow I would have made a run at 3' -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Itstrainingtime replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
1. March 1993 1(18" of snow, 65mph wind, 4" of sleet. I had a solid snow cover for 15 days in mid-March. Likely never again) 2. January 1996 (30.5", ended up with 44" for the week) 3. February 1983 (5" of snow between 4pm and 5pm, heaviest snow I've ever seen. Ended up with 24.5") Brian, I have a hard time ranking that week in January 1996 with February 2010. I had the same amount of snow both weeks. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Itstrainingtime replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Please...stay. Share your thoughts. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Itstrainingtime replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
And that's the positive. We don't anomalous to work...we need moisture and normal temps. As Bubbler said if we can get something to traverse below our latitude we can still score. Odds are it won't be big and it wouldn't last but it be data on the data sheet. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Itstrainingtime replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It's about as bad a look as I've seen yet. @Atomixwx is sitting back saying "I told you guys..." -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Itstrainingtime replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
1. Tell them that you have snow on the ground (even if you don't) and they don't 2. Tell them why the Patriots will beat the Ravens. Make sure you mark that specifically to Phin. 3. Run like there's no tomorrow out of there. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Itstrainingtime replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
And later that season came 27.6" in mid-February. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Itstrainingtime replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
My AC was humming as recently as Wednesday. Confession - I did turn it off first thing yesterday morning... -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Itstrainingtime replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Ah hah! That is what i remember...sort of lol (I didn't remember the snow/sleet on the 24th, but I do remember the rain to snow deal) -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Itstrainingtime replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'm in that sub more than I am here, mostly due to activity and the fact that they have some absolutely dynamite posters. (Hoffman, Chill, plus several red taggers are super informative. Plus, our weather often starts down there, so there's that. For whatever reason they are very protective of "their house" and don't welcome outsiders well. Ask @pasnownut about that. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Itstrainingtime replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
This is why I so wish I didn't stop with my meticulous record keeping in 1997. My memory is not what it once was - when I think back on this event I thought it was a rain to snow scenario...I thought the night before I went to a Christmas eve service in rain, and early the next morning it changed to snow. I honestly didn't remember that it was supposed to be a snow to rain deal. So glad the rain part never came. The other thing I remember is getting up at an obscene time on Christmas morning. My kids were very young and woke up my wife and I sometime around 4am. That probably more than anything else has my memory of all of this messed up. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Itstrainingtime replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
10" of wet paste...I lost power that day for hours. Can't believe I forgot, thanks... -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Itstrainingtime replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Terrific post. All true words. Other than 1/6/1996 and 12/18/2009, the cupboard is pretty bare on significant snows before the middle of January. Those are our facts... Now, as the COPP of this bunch, that doesn't mean I don't want it sooner during our peak low sun angle season. (COPP - Chief Of Pack Preservation) -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Itstrainingtime replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
There seems to be unanimous agreement we are shutout for the next 10+ days...there are differing opinions on the timing of the pattern flip, but to your point there were quite a few solid posters/mets who seemed concerned it would take well into January before we see signs of improvement here. One thing we know - things can change quickly. What looks like a good pattern can go to crap and vice versa almost overnight. We wait... -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Itstrainingtime replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
17 here. It woke me heading out for work this morning for sure.