Itstrainingtime

Well that's encouraging! Thanks...

@daxx You mentioned that a good bit of 12z guidance made a move toward the Euro with the Sunday/Monday system. I'm curious what the latest Euro did in regards to it's own previous runs...is it moving towards the rest (better solution) or did it trend worse from 0z?

Sounds very reasonable. You'll get more than eastern areas tonight, we might even things up tomorrow night.

Okay...he's not enthused for tomorrow night, echoing Brian's (daxx) sentiment about temps in the lowest 5000' of the atmosphere. He's calling for a small slushy mix. He IS calling for a few areas to get up to 5" tonight however. That's all I'm saying from him. I promised myself to chill during my imposed ban.

Eric Horst.

FWIW..."the guy from Millersville that will go unnamed" is saying that the big show on Sunday/Monday will see the rain/snow line set up between Harrisburg and Philly. Sounds like most of you N&W of me are sitting pretty.

Tomorrow night might be a mixed mess...we'll see.

Funny thing is I think all of us actually are pretty much on the same page. I might have caused the confusion because i overlooked the potential for Friday night into early Saturday. And then depending on your preferred model, the Sunday/Monday deal may be a Miller A (most models) or a Miller B (Euro somewhat)

Okay...maybe it was just the Euro that was showing it cutting towards WV and then a secondary popping off of Delmarva.

Thanks...I thought you were talking about the Sunday/Monday deal as that to me looks sort of like a Miller B evolution.

Is this from a developing coastal wave that was originally going to impact areas east of us?

I was assuming there was the system tonight and the next one later Sunday...is there another wave that might bring snow late tomorrow night as well? That potential wasn't even on my radar...

Best wishes to your family. I'm 5 minutes outside of Mount Joy...please bring some of that white gold along with you...

0z Ukie says Monday is also the Bubbler storm. This model used to be pretty darn reliable...time for it to get it's mojo back...

CTP with a HWO dor for a general 1-3" tonight south of the pike.

Awesome job guys, all of you. Bring 'em home!

The EPS sure made me feel a lot better...

Suppression, or no vorts at all?

Brian I get it completely and agree. It's been one of the most difficult 20"+ seasons i can ever remember, and i allowed myself to get fully invested in the upcoming time period. It seems like each day another piece gets pulled out of our puzzle and pretty soon i'm going to have a nice frame with nothing left inside of it. Thing is...things could look totally different at this time tomorrow! Or at 18z.

That's not funny, it's depressing. Sometimes it just doesn't work out. We'll keep watching and hoping but yeah...

Man...MU's 7 day forecast is uninspiring to say the least. A possible "brush" with light snow or flurries tomorrow night, followed by rain, cold, rain, cold...and dry. The ONLY snow in the 7 day is tomorrow night's flurries.

One thing is for certain...no one can say with any certainty what's going to happen. So many moving pieces and what each piece of energy ultimately does will sorta dictate how the trailing piece does. We have an active period coming up with chances and that's plenty good enough. For now. :)

@psuhoffman said something this evening that I agree with 100% - I think the chances of snow the next 10-14 days is quite high, but the chance of a big dog snowstorm has dropped. Once again it seems that progressive flow will dampen things out enough that we just don't get the amplification we need. So if that does become a reality, and I'm not giving up by any means...I hope the 12z Euro depiction for Monday works out for us.

Yep, and just to clarify...the ONLY way I trade snow is a 100% guarantee I'm getting a biggie in return...

I agree with everything you said...honestly, if we were looking at 4 possible events i would trade 3 of them for 1 big one if i could. 6z NAM is actually targeting MD/VA for Friday, and NC/VA/MD for Sunday into Monday. In March, I'd much rather have a single 10"+ storm rather than a 2", 4", and 4" or something like that. I love all snow but a couple of inches in March is kind of like a tease...now you see it, and very quickly thereafter you don't. I want something that will survive one full day of March sun, and therefore it needs to be significant.