Itstrainingtime

Sensei! I love it! As a former continuous improvement (Lean methodology) leader I never expected to read that term used on here.

This! @pasnownut you're not being a deb, you're using logic and being realistic. And frankly I'm glad to read it. You might not "like" posting the way you are right now, but you're posting truth. It's just as foolish to post positive thoughts when the pattern doesn't support it as it is to be negative when the pattern does support it. People that are negative are made to feel like crap at times when the fact is...if the pattern sucks they're going to be (and have been) right. Bubbler...you could not have said it better.

It's good to be realistic though.

Our hope lies on the tail end...sort of like what happened on 12/25/2002. I think you brought that up earlier...:)

Yes, it was. Glad you mentioned that. Probably very similar in scope, coverage and time. Thanks!

Miller B's are like seeing the hottest chick walking through the mall. You (okay, at least I) know that you have very little chance but man if you end up scoring it's a pretty sweet experience.

That's exactly what I see. As I said on Sunday there was very little that was enticing about this setup...admittedly I've already moved on from this weekend. While I don't think it's impossible to win it seems so unlikely that I can't allow myself to get attached (invested) enough on this one.

That storm was the focal point on news outlets for the entire week before the storm. Never seen before or since.

Biggest difference between 93 and 96 is that in March 93 the entire east coast was on alert for a full week in advance. I can't honestly recall any storm before or after that seemed like such a sure thing. The only details to work out locally was how far west the mix line would get and how strong the winds would actually be. 96 was a Virginia special until the final 48 hours. The storm arrived early Sunday morning, and it wasn't until later in the day Friday and especially Saturday that the models converged on a solution that would bring a high impact to most of the eastern 2/3 of PA. It seemed like with every new package the NWS kept raising our expected snowfall on Saturday. Friday night they were calling for 4-8" here and by Sunday morning it was 24-30". I ended up with 18" in 93 and 32" in 96.

That's a classic Miller A to me.

The storm as depicted above (which will likely move around, obviously) is much more representative of how storms played out in the 70s and 80s. Every mile you went west and north of Lancaster, the better. The past 20-25 years has really been an anomaly versus climate history where the coastal plain has outperformed the interior. It's time that that places like UNV and IPT get hammered. They've been fringed so many times when I've been buried. Going to be a great week of tracking guys!

Yep...could make the difference between a grey rainy day and a wet paste bomb.

Appreciate this very much - easy to understand. Should be an interesting week ahead!

Man, if we only had a supply of fresh arctic air in place... The dude is relentless. I'm convinced he's going to will it to snow in July some year.

There's a lot that I don't like about this situation at all...BUT we got snow a couple of weeks ago from a wretched setup, so who am I to discount this? There is a path to victory here. There's just a lot of detours in the road. (Especially east and south of the mountains)

Well look at you being all neighborly...:) See some flakes flying. Wish I had a little more white on the ground to get the full wintry vibe going.

I measured exactly 1" as well, though I'm 15 miles SE of MDT. 36 here now.

Light rain and 35. Agree with @CarlislePaWx that we make a run at 40, perhaps a bit higher down this way before settling back down towards sunrise.

Cloudy and 33.2 here. Temp is up 6 degrees since 4:45pm.

Just some little freezing rain/drizzle now. Temp on the rise, now 31.2

I'm at about 1" total now. Moderate to heavy sleet currently.

It would be technically correct, however in honest disclosure my original call was for 2-4" of SNOW before the changeover. If you give me credit for the win, I'll take it!

I've flipped to almost all freezing rain here. Edit: It's about 50/50 mix right now.

Sorry Steve... One thing I think will happen is that once precip shuts off this evening, we'll have a several hour period where temps spike above freezing in advance of the cold front. I think the worst driving is right now and things should improve greatly as the evening wears on.

And a deadly squall line that produced violent tornadoes early on the 13th. Edit: Freezing rain is mixing in with the sleet now. Ugh.