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Itstrainingtime

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Everything posted by Itstrainingtime

  1. Itstrainingtime
    The GFS has been literally over the east coast with the upcoming storm. It inspires zero confidence...I mean zero. People poop on the NAM but the GFS right now is laughable. The CMC seems to be doing a little better - maybe not Euro like, but model goalposts seem to be narrowing. The Euro hasn't been it's hallowed self lately and the CMC seems to be getting better. We'll see what happens soon enough.
  2. Itstrainingtime
    Agreed, more upside with that the first event. Though...given how things have been, I'm not looking past Monday/Tuesday and laying all my eggs on storm #2.
  3. Itstrainingtime
    Remarkable that in late January that a storm exiting off Myrtle Beach produces rain up to the I95 corridor, at least as the GFS depicts.
  4. Itstrainingtime
    I agree with you 100%. I know that every storm/setup is unique, but if I'm on or near the southern boundary of good snow, I'm essentially writing it off. I'm much more interested in being on the northern edge or even just out of it if there are several days left before the event. Some of my biggest snows were mid-Atlantic specials at range. '83 and '96 are classic examples.
  5. Itstrainingtime
    GFS looks like it's gone from amped to suppressed in one run. Congrats northern VA on this run. I think realistically were still 2-3 days away from knowing what will happen on Monday.
  6. Itstrainingtime
    That's right. Wife and I had just moved to our new house and I was excited about taking our then 3 year old out to play in the snow. That winter was void of all things winter.
  7. Itstrainingtime
    Nice snow shower here this morning! Even had a bit of accumulation in the grass - call it the 3rd trace in 4 days! Also - other than the day of the snowstorm in mid December, have we had a single day of sub-freezing highs in the LSV? I know last year was mild, but it was VERY mild offset by a few periods of somewhat colder weather. We definitely had days where it stayed in the 20s. I can't recall a winter that has been so void of wintry temperatures.
  8. Itstrainingtime
    Just came to post the same thing - 2nd trace for me in the past 3 days.
  9. Itstrainingtime
    @MAG5035 Thank you for the honest, straightforward assessment. It just isn't cold )anything noteworthy) ANYWHERE in the country. Right now, we can get by with an acceptable storm track and enough dynamics to cool thermals. As we start getting later in the season, the lack of cold is going to kill us.
  10. Itstrainingtime
    Recorded a trace of snow this morning from a nice random snow shower. Wasn't expecting that!
  11. Itstrainingtime
    It's been kind of a sneaky dry spell - we're so focused on what might be coming at the end of the month that we've been caught off guard how dry it's been. Anyway, just about .25" in the gauge. Nice, steady light rain has fallen all evening.
  12. Itstrainingtime
    I'm appreciating the rain - it has been dry for 2 weeks. Need some moisture in the ground.
  13. Itstrainingtime
    EPS with a strong signal for white gold for the last week of the month. Let's hope it's delayed (somewhat) but not denied. (in the least) I'm optimistic that winter will be here in force before the end of the month.
  14. Itstrainingtime
    Yep, that's exactly what I was saying - we'll have 1 precipitation event in the month of January heading into the final week - and it's going to be rain.
  15. Itstrainingtime
    It's going to rain tonight in the LSV - thus ending a remarkable stretch of weather that has been relatively the same each day for nearly 2 weeks. Of course, the majority of the precip falls during darkness, so by tomorrow we resume our stretch of what we've had since the beginning of the year. We just can't get a wintry threat inside 7-10 days. Hopefully a piece of energy times right soon for us.
  16. Itstrainingtime
    I feel like it's been this way since the start of the new year. My daughter works outside a lot and asks me every Sunday what the weather's going to be like for the upcoming week. The past 2 Sundays I've told her to go outside...what you see and feel now is what you'll see and feel all week.
  17. Itstrainingtime
    Yep, we need a high ratio fluff bomb straight from Manitoba. I'm far more partial to Maulers from Manitoba than clippers from Alberta.
  18. Itstrainingtime
    After looking at long range guidance from the overnight runs - I don't see much to be encouraged about. This is a rotten time to go into an extended period of dry weather, but the southern stream looks to be predominately closed for business going forward.
  19. Itstrainingtime
    Actually saw a report of Thundersnow in Austin...hope Cantore was there!
  20. Itstrainingtime
    Thank you for posting that. I always appreciate looking at those maps.
  21. Itstrainingtime
    We can hope that this 10 day image changes for the better...soon.
  22. Itstrainingtime
    You need to move south! Mine has rain/snow for Tuesday.
  23. Itstrainingtime
    Western part of North Carolina is a great place for snow - get out west of Wilkesboro and that area averages more snow in the winter than we do. They get upslope, far enough south to get into southern stream action, and far enough west to avoid changeover. My wife wants to retire to Boone - we'll see...
  24. Itstrainingtime
    MDT finished 2020 with an average temperature of 56.6, which ties 1998 as the warmest year on record in Harrisburg.
  25. Itstrainingtime
    I've always found it fascinating that Lancaster-based WGAL uses info from Harrisburg and not Lancaster. At least in most of Lanco, 1996 dropped more snow here than 2016 did. The 1983 storm dropped remarkably similar amounts in both locals - I measured 24.8" in the '83 storm. I don't remember 1945.
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