Itstrainingtime

Yes, I saw that. It seemed odds slightly favored a close whiff...if memory serves correctly a lot of tropical cyclones end up east of what was modeled as they get closer to our latitude. Even at the DE/MD beaches their have been evacuations over the years anticipating a significant impact only to see the storm venture a little further offshore. This book has more chapters to go so we'll see if the pattern allows the storm to tug inland a bit.

Radar was deceptive because it looked like you did better than that.

Not a drop of rain here. Nothing. Heavy rain appears to be falling roughly 5-10 miles to my south.

93 was my high. Watching that impressive batch of rain getting ready to raid the parched lands of PA...

Pretty incredible how the area of 2"+ curves around you and Cashtown...crazy. I've been holding steady at 93 for 2 hours. Interesting to see what you reach.

Yep. Warmer during the day and night than forecast.

This morning I doubted that I'd reach 90 today. I'm currently at 93.2

Got the bad, but expected news the other day...no trips to Heinz Field this fall.

There were 7-8" amounts on yesterday's map right up to the M/D line. The Delmarva region lost a couple of inches since the last map was issued.

I've been quietly thinking about that for some time now - one extreme to the other.

80 at 9AM. I have a feeling we'll struggle to hit 90 today, but we shall see. Here's the 7 day WPC map: Not a bad look, but it's already been shaved back a good bit to our south from yesterday's map. Really hope that this can hold...

But...you can change your location as often as you want, and it's almost as fun too!

He's the real deal at the dish. It's fun to watch... What isn't fun is that the 'Bombers have picked up right where they left off last year. I've never seen a pitching staff give up gopher balls like we do against NY.

If we ever are fortunate enough to see another storm of that magnitude, 2 things will certainly happen: Canderson will at least once announce that Harrisburg won't receive more than 4" Wmsptwx will tell us every freakin' time any model that shows the storm missing anyone north of the M/D

12.5% but who's checking?

I'm calling it now - in a winter that will once again be nearly wall to wall total suckage, we're going to get lucky once and wamboozled during a crap pattern. First call: Cumberland county weenies: 30-35" Dauphin: 26-32" York: 28-34" (except for that other blizzard guy down near the M/D line who will get 44") Adams: 30-36" Franklin: 24-30" MAGland: 14-22" Lancaster: 30-36" Schuylkill: 20-26" Lycoming: 10-15" For most of us, our final seasonal totals will be <10" greater than from that one storm alone. I reserve the right to edit this post as I see fit.

Tracking tropical disturbances at long leads is pretty normal, IMHO.

You've been consistently running a few degrees ahead of me this summer. I'm at my high for the day, and exactly what he predicted this morning. 91 on the nose. It must be that I'm opening my back door a lot and some of my 65 degree air is chilling my sensor.

Are you kidding? Why would talking tropics be a bother? I mean, we can only come on so many times and say it's 91...93...95...you get the point. Any type of anomalous weather is fun to track. I've been following the tropic threads closely.

Every time we have a dry summer or even just a dry stretch of days, I'm amazed at how quickly things dry and burn. Get a run of several 90+ degree days and little to no rainfall and things start dying out quickly. Having said that, this will likely be the first week all season that I won't HAVE to mow - up until now my yard has needed cut every 5-6 days. I'm going to give it a break this week.

86.4 here at 10:10am...we got this. I saw irrigation going on yesterday afternoon in places that I've never seen. She's drying and dying quickly...

And a muffed punt it was! Current temp here is 91.

Radar does look lousy. And you're right about going forward as well...not much to be enthused about regarding rain chances over the next week.

I think that's exactly right. Probably a good amount of down sloping from the surrounding ridges. I travel the turnpike a lot and see the same thing happen in Breezewood - it's often 3-5 degrees cooler up on Sideling Hill compared to the land of hotels...

88 at noon with a good amount of cloudiness. 90 obviously within reach but not totally convinced I make it unless there is more sun than there is now. It actually feels pretty good here with the cloud/breeze combo.