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Itstrainingtime

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Everything posted by Itstrainingtime

  1. Itstrainingtime
    Thanks - really hope you're right about the late week system. I've never really gotten invested in the early week event (maybe I should have, I just didn't like the setup for down here) but as I've said previously, I have hope when we have a storm that we need a north trend. I don't know that we get a big event but I'd gladly take a few inches even if DC metro gets significantly more.
  2. Itstrainingtime
    Yep, I have a great chance at seeing that. You're most likely getting snow, or predominately snow.
  3. Itstrainingtime
    Yep. Exactly my concern from 2-3 days ago. It was way too early to call victory. We can still win. We can still get shutout. (for the week)
  4. Itstrainingtime
    Wind...a lot of wind...
  5. Itstrainingtime
    I agree on the 3-6" - not sure that will cover the entire CTP region.
  6. Itstrainingtime
    The 2" line is 30 miles south of my house. The southern edge has been moving north with every model run. I'm about out of room. The southern edge usually fails, as well.
  7. Itstrainingtime
    Cumberland Valley special Stephen. I do not like being on the southern edge...does not inspire confidence.
  8. Itstrainingtime
    Where is Canderson with a wind update? For the past hour or two my house has been shaking - it is windier here now than a lot of actually forecasted "wind events."
  9. Itstrainingtime
    That's my concern.
  10. Itstrainingtime
    There's a LOT of time left. That was my point last night - too early to say it's going to snow, too early to say it's not. I'm still not super confident about Monday.
  11. Itstrainingtime
    For years, the Euro and Ukie were usually in sync. Not so much recently. Today, the 12z Ukie looks very much like the Euro above.
  12. Itstrainingtime
    12Z Euro: No commentary, just a snapshot -
  13. Itstrainingtime
    LOL. I only did that because I was anticipating your response in advance.
  14. Itstrainingtime
    I was waiting for something like that. So, I present this...
  15. Itstrainingtime
    Sort of...but areas around Binghamton had between 40-50" of snow, so we sort of shared the wealth with our neighbors up north.
  16. Itstrainingtime
    I assume you're talking the early week storm? GFS is a whiff south for the storm later in the week. (though that came north and is still a viable threat) It's still equally possible that southern PA sees a lot of snow next week or little to nothing. (Monday could be a little too north = Thursday could end up south) Edit: Shouldn't have said equal chances. Monday looks like at least some snow is likely at this point.
  17. Itstrainingtime
    Thank you for that. Appreciate your thoughts.
  18. Itstrainingtime
    Yep, that's what I've been saying.
  19. Itstrainingtime
    I am too. I said nothing negative. I added a dose of realism.
  20. Itstrainingtime
    Thanks - you explained it far better than my poor attempt.
  21. Itstrainingtime
    I think you're misinterpreting what is being said. Climate is NOT the same as it was years ago. You often quote PSU Hoffman, he's been saying that over and over again. That doesn't mean it doesn't snow, or we don't have above normal years. We've gotten above normal years because we've had a lot of very large snowstorms in the past 20 years. Winters have been lacking multiple snow events, sustained cold, and to some extent, frigid weather. He said winter is changing. He's right...
  22. Itstrainingtime
    True, but where he lives receives more snow annually than I do. I wasn't arguing or trying to start anything. I'm saying that we can't say for certain that it's going to snow. To do so could end up making one look foolish. There are absolutely ways for Monday to fail. That goes for Lake George NY and Smith Mountain Lake in VA and every point in between.
  23. Itstrainingtime
    Other than the December storm, we've had little snow for the past couple of years. Sorry, I don't agree with you on this. At this juncture, there are still ways for us to miss this.
  24. Itstrainingtime
    I'm not - this storm is all over the place. I'm prepared for zero snow, a pile of snow, or anything in between the next 10-14 days. As PSU Hoffman said earlier this evening "the Monday system has become complicated, and we don't do complicated well." I think those are prudent words to heed.
  25. Itstrainingtime
    We've seen a few look like this in the past a week out that we ended up getting buried under:
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