I agree with all of what you are saying. I truly do. What I was referring to, and what makes no sense to me, is posting a snow map that shows 9" over my house when a storm is tracking over Detroit and lacking CAD. It ain't happening.
This is true...though I think a lot in our thread recognize the woes of the GFS. I know @pasnownut will often caveat that when he shows what it's saying.
The NAM gets more hate than it should, though sometimes when it's wrong it can be ridiculously so.
I can't believe how low the ceiling has been here for the past 3 hours without so much of a drop falling. I've been waiting and waiting for the rain to start...it just won't.
I would amend that to say that you could have outperformed the models and those who went solely by them, yes.
I believe that I remember MAG saying over and over again that the snow maps depicted were way overdone (especially in the LSV) - the meteorology didn't support the maps.
A lot of the models snowfall depictions this past winter did not make meteorological sense. Far too often models depicted low track consistently running west of PA and still showed significant snows here despite little to no CAD and screaming SE winds. That is why I in particular was critical of the snow maps because there was little sound reasoning to believe that they would be correct.
And they weren't.
The NAM also did well with a couple of the big storms during the 2009-10 winter, at least in the LSV. It was the first to insist on the north trend. The Euro came along thereafter and the GFS got on board about 6 hours into the storms.
We have friends from out west who vacation on the east coast every August. A few years ago they came east with no roof over their home and didn't seem concerned at all. Friend said he's been living out there for almost 40 years and it's rained twice during August over that period of time.
I'm just glad that Miller B came when I was 13 years old - I was more than happy with 16" of wind-driven snow. I wasn't old enough to be super pissed that parts of New England got like 4', LOL.