Itstrainingtime

GFS

Yes sir. As I've been saying for a few days, nothing definitive can be said with this storm. More surprises await.

Our friend Roger just informed the Philly thread to expect 8-50".

That is going to be one sick band tomorrow. Someone is going to score very, very big.

I go for precise measurements. My numbers should always be close to yours.

4:55PM OBS -SN 27.2 degrees Total snow: 2.5"

Snow is really picking up here now. Approaching 1".

Then again, a further SE track might imply less mixing for me...

This is all sound analysis and reasoning. I know this is location sensitive, but some of us will lose QPF to sleet and freezing rain as well. Not all of the precip depicted is snow down here.

If this goes down the way the Euro just depicted, I would be thrilled!

RAP went off the rails last night and keeps getting worse.

6-12" is my bar. If I get to 6, rest is gravy. Only that I know for certain - I have no control over what I or anyone else gets. Trends aren't good but that isn't surprising really.

Bottom line - still not the time to make definitive statements either way. Lots of moving parts. Tomorrow will bring surprises...where and how will be a nowcast.

I have very light flurries, barely discernable, and .4" so far. 27 degrees. Snow is beginning to melt on my road.

Horst hasn't posted a new map, but sort of dropped places like my area and nutsville from 12-18" down to 6-12" Says he feels that the heavy totals are aimed for the Lehigh Valley. Did say areas near the turnpike could see a foot.

96 was my longest storm in duration. I had snow continuously for 37 hours.

Dusting here so far.

Flurries have commenced

Thank you. I respect you as one of the finest gentlemen on here. I went into the mid-Atlantic thread the other night and told them what a great thread we have with a bunch of amazing people. All I ask for is that we respect each other. Plain and simple. I started a big thing when all I was trying to do was keep things above the line. I speak up to defend people when I feel they aren't being treated well and I will not stop doing so. I guess that's why my career is in HR. Carry on. I'm finished with this and ready to move forward.

I'm truly sorry that I upset you. I only wanted to convey a message to keeping our comments above the line. That was all.

Thank you.

No it's not.

Yes. Not starting a war. See my post above.

Back in 2000 there was a Miller B that was modeled and forecast to give me 24"+ up until 8 hours before gametime. I ended up with partly cloudy skies. It was an incredible bust. It happens even when every model says it won't.

Yep, that's a fair assessment. Could be right..don't know yet.