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Itstrainingtime

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Everything posted by Itstrainingtime

  1. Itstrainingtime
    Horst throws out a little carrot: The coldest air of the season so far will arrive THU/FRI. Next Monday (Feb 1st) looks more interesting as a strong Pacific storm, arriving in Cali this FRI, will track east w/ a favorable downstream setup for NE US snow. Remember, FEB is our snowiest month...
  2. Itstrainingtime
    Agree - though if I was a betting man I'd take the under on that east of the river.
  3. Itstrainingtime
    Sure does - I had high hopes and extremely low expectations for this week all along. What is happening is not really a surprise to me, which is why I was trumpeting caution last week even while we under all those pretty colors on the snow maps. I'm not super enthused for the potential day 7 event either for mostly the same reasons...I bolded what matters to me, and I've been saying it for weeks. And we know how well Miller B's work for us, even when it is cold.
  4. Itstrainingtime
    Tonight - congrats to Cashtown and Rouzerville. (LSV specific)
  5. Itstrainingtime
    I'm really looking forward to Lake Placid!
  6. Itstrainingtime
    12z GFS for Thursday is Ryan Howard in his final years with the Phillies. Swing and a miss. I think we've lost just about every model now.
  7. Itstrainingtime
    0z NAM looks a little colder/snowier to me.
  8. Itstrainingtime
    Thanks. Does that include both systems?
  9. Itstrainingtime
    I hope you're right. Both Sterling and Mt. Holly are on the suppressed train. Especially concerning for us if Sterling is saying that their forecast area is too far north.
  10. Itstrainingtime
    Thanks - really hope you're right about the late week system. I've never really gotten invested in the early week event (maybe I should have, I just didn't like the setup for down here) but as I've said previously, I have hope when we have a storm that we need a north trend. I don't know that we get a big event but I'd gladly take a few inches even if DC metro gets significantly more.
  11. Itstrainingtime
    Yep, I have a great chance at seeing that. You're most likely getting snow, or predominately snow.
  12. Itstrainingtime
    Yep. Exactly my concern from 2-3 days ago. It was way too early to call victory. We can still win. We can still get shutout. (for the week)
  13. Itstrainingtime
    Wind...a lot of wind...
  14. Itstrainingtime
    I agree on the 3-6" - not sure that will cover the entire CTP region.
  15. Itstrainingtime
    The 2" line is 30 miles south of my house. The southern edge has been moving north with every model run. I'm about out of room. The southern edge usually fails, as well.
  16. Itstrainingtime
    Cumberland Valley special Stephen. I do not like being on the southern edge...does not inspire confidence.
  17. Itstrainingtime
    Where is Canderson with a wind update? For the past hour or two my house has been shaking - it is windier here now than a lot of actually forecasted "wind events."
  18. Itstrainingtime
    That's my concern.
  19. Itstrainingtime
    There's a LOT of time left. That was my point last night - too early to say it's going to snow, too early to say it's not. I'm still not super confident about Monday.
  20. Itstrainingtime
    For years, the Euro and Ukie were usually in sync. Not so much recently. Today, the 12z Ukie looks very much like the Euro above.
  21. Itstrainingtime
    12Z Euro: No commentary, just a snapshot -
  22. Itstrainingtime
    LOL. I only did that because I was anticipating your response in advance.
  23. Itstrainingtime
    I was waiting for something like that. So, I present this...
  24. Itstrainingtime
    Sort of...but areas around Binghamton had between 40-50" of snow, so we sort of shared the wealth with our neighbors up north.
  25. Itstrainingtime
    I assume you're talking the early week storm? GFS is a whiff south for the storm later in the week. (though that came north and is still a viable threat) It's still equally possible that southern PA sees a lot of snow next week or little to nothing. (Monday could be a little too north = Thursday could end up south) Edit: Shouldn't have said equal chances. Monday looks like at least some snow is likely at this point.
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