Itstrainingtime

It's gone south 4 runs in a row.

It's really south it looks.

Really glad the Ukie came back north. Let's see what the European is cooking.

I love the Germans.

I mean, I love that sub. They have a great blend of knowledge and entertainment. Some tremendous people down there, but they get really possessive of their home turf. NAM is north. Let's keep hope alive.

I've argued that for years. Anyway, I just went into their banter thread and let them know nicely that we're a good bunch of guys. (which i mean sincerely)

Hey everyone, Anotherman is NOT a troll. He's a good poster in our thread. We have one troll who was in here back in December and I came in asked him to leave you alone. He didn't. Thing is, he's a super troll because he never posts in his home thread. I also appreciated the fact that many of you thanked me for coming in here and pulling the clown out. We have a really good thread with some great people. I've been around for a long time and I will tell you that almost every one of us comes to this sub because: 1) What happens down here first usually affects us next 2) You are an amazing group of contributors. Tons of knowledge and a lot of entertainment to boot. I spend time every day reading and enjoying the disco and banter. Some of you seem happy that PA might get shutout - I get it, snow can make us very possessive. I'll also add that the vast majority of us want you to have a good storm. We don't wish ill on others like some do. I just wanted to share this in light of what happened earlier. We really are good people...just like you all are. Sincerely wishing you a great storm! - Mike

There are a couple down there making fun of us. Noted.

With each push south it's also getting weaker. We need the confluence to ease and hope for some ticks north.

Maybe. But everything is shifting south in response to the confluence. If that eases up, we're okay. Right now, it gets stronger each run.

That's what I was afraid of. Also, the WAA is getting less and less on each run. (for us)

"the Euro is dangerously close to missing the capture and escaping" (PSUHoffman)

18z Euro is further south per MA forum.

35.2" is your target.

This post made my day.

I felt much more comfortable 24 hours ago than I do now.

This is what's been on my mind the past few hours. I honestly think it's going to be a bomb or a bust. There could be a middle ground, but I have a feeling it's going to be a few inches or a crap ton here.

Sort of...if the coastal misses completely, the Ukie solution is absolutely valid. Even using the Euro, I don't think we see 6" from the WAA part of the event. If the coastal misses, I think 2-4" is a better call east of the river. Let's hope this is a moot point.

Agreed. I think the Ensembles are leaning SW due to the WAA - most models show only a couple/few inches for me from that, while areas down your way and a bit SW of you might see double that. I need the coastal to produce.

Euro OP threw out some crazy QPF totals over SE PA...ensemble mean suggests a slight, overall reduction from 0z. On the OP, I was on the western fringe of the best QPF. On the mean, I'm on the NE edge of the 6" line.

Welp Nut...the jackpot moved well SE from 12z... ...and on this run, it targets ME and YOU. Can we hold it?

Understood. Definite risk.

It is, and you and I get clobbered with the CCB. We're running out of margin, however.

Eh, she's still close to the coast, but the next frames will tell the story...

I don't like what I'm seeing with the coastal...further south and east a bit to me.