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Itstrainingtime

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Everything posted by Itstrainingtime

  1. I hope for once the GFS is right. It has been AWFUL this winter - I mean, on the 0z run last night it was still showing 6" for me overnight. I ended up with less than 2". For the 2 big storms we did get this year it was the last to the party. I'm more trusting of the NAM these days than the GFS. Hopefully the Para is better.
  2. You did better than you thought you would. Unless you were being sarcastic last night with your 1-2" call.
  3. @Mshaffer526 What's happening over near the Gap Town Clock?
  4. Very light snow started here about 30 minutes ago. Car topper so far.
  5. @losetoa6 Welcome to our thread and please keep posting here as you wish - you and @Blizzard of 93 are the board's eternal optimists, so you both might as well post in the same thread.
  6. Welcome! You are close to me - I live just outside of Maytown on the Mount Joy side very close to the air strip.
  7. It certainly looks like my fear of suppression for tonight will end up being unfounded. I'll gladly and publicly admit I was wrong.
  8. Horst: Wednesday Update: A weak system will slide by to our south tonight w/ intermittent snow btwn 8pm - 8am. Temps aloft are good for making dendrites, so it may do well, despite other limitations. 2 - 4" is a good bet along the Rt-30 corridor...perhaps up to 5" on some SoLanco hills.
  9. In between Zwyts and Deck Pic he was "Westminster Deathband" which I loved as well.
  10. You have the best name on the entire board - hands down. Resume weather talk...
  11. I mean...the Route 30 bypass opened when I was 5...so I guess...
  12. By default, sure. I've been in Lanco for 56 years, so I've seen enough to blame me for anything.
  13. Interesting. I wonder if I changed to rain being further south? The only memorable weather event for me between 1979 and 1993 was the 2/12/1983 blizzard. We had a nice snowstorm in 1987 but it was a heavy snow with no wind that melted in 2 days. 1983...I had 5" of snow between 4pm and 5pm at the height of the storm with multiple lightning flashes and loud thunder. It was a fairly progressive storm that I still got 24.5" from. Man, if we only would have had a block...
  14. I was born in 1965 - so I basically grew up in the 70s. Parents would often tell me during my childhood as a snow lover how much things changed shortly after I was born. The 70s were not kind - I watched with despair as the Virginas and Carolinas kept getting smoked while I was looking south through filtered sun.
  15. I have an average of 6" in protected areas that don't get much or any sun. Most of my backyard is fully exposed and it's nothing but a few small areas.
  16. Mid to late March as I recall - it wasn't the magnitude of the winter of '94, which I had snow cover for 77 consecutive days. (that's not a typo) I hate sleet when it's falling but I appreciate it so much days later when I'm looking at a white instead of green landscape.
  17. I think that snow hole is a result of downsloping from Blue Mountain just to our north and west, and then the upslope of the far eastern Lanco/western Chesco high hills just to our east. It's very annoying.
  18. I'm definitely in the camp that many more have come north. Off the top of my head, 75% is probably safe - it might be higher than that. I got tired of saying last year how temps were almost without exception higher than modeled. It happens all the time. I'm saying that as a generalization, not specific to modeled arctic air days out. However, I also agree that a lot of modeled arctic air has modified before it reaches us - January 2018 is a notable exception to that. To @Jns2183 point, more times than not it finds ways not to snow than it does for it to snow. We've done remarkably well this winter for a Nina but there have still been several misses that models were showing snow for our area that either didn't come to fruition or we ended up with far less than thought.
  19. Sorry - it looked like it was headed west for sure ON THAT RUN, as depicted. I'm sorry that I wasn't clear on that part. My bad. The whole real cold thing before it snows - I somewhat agree with that. But, '96 I was SN+ for hours sitting on 12 degrees. It happened with one of the big boys over the past 10-15 years as well, but in general...too much cold is a bad thing.
  20. That's just it - way too early to say where this might be headed. Get us a gorilla and I'll start throwing bananas.
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