Itstrainingtime

The Dunkin in Mount Joy has developed a cult following similar to Chick Fil A - police are regularly stationed at the Dunkin to help with traffic in and out of the parking lot/drive thru. It's crazy.

Some of the mountain ski resorts are talking about an early opening. And yes...if they're doing well, it probably means that we're not.

Just came back from running an errand, and wow...it is quite breezy out there! Felt good to be out early today.

So you're saying that I'll still sneak in an 80.

All very good news. Hope the nooners continue the theme. Clouds and 64 here this morning.

And, I'm punting every single European model output of big snows this winter if it's the only model showing it.

As a former soccer keeper I'm familiar with punting but I never took the time to adjust the laces.

Exactly. And I posted that just to share someone's opinion...I'm certainly NOT punting anything (except for a cool October) and I think we can still do well snowfall-wise in a Nina winter even if it's not the most likely outcome. All it takes is a couple of well-timed events. We've had some really good patterns over the past few winters that haven't produced because we couldn't time something up.

MU's new director of Meteorology sort of agrees with you: Looking ahead into next week and beyond, the global, atmospheric pattern simply doesn't support any cool air spilling into the eastern U.S. A deep trough oscillating between Alaska and the West Coast of the U.S. may be even try to expand and deepen later next week. If this happens and my current thinking is correct, we'll likely make at least one or two more runs at the 80-degree mark sometime between October 12-19. At some point during the last 10-12 days of the month, I suspect we'll finally see at least one or two cooler shots of air take aim at the Eastern U.S... but how much "staying power" these have remains to be seen. With abnormally warm ocean waters in the Gulf of Mexico and western Atlantic and a large area of unusually cold ocean waters in the Gulf of Alaska, it's going to make it difficult to get any prolonged periods of unseasonably chilly air into the East for the foreseeable future. This could certainly be a big factor (in addition to La Nina) over the winter season, as well...

I'll spot you a 10 on that one - 78 here and partly sunny. She's a wee bit uncomfortable out there.

In our area, "will" becomes the "way"

One thing that seems to be fairly common the past several years is "advertised" change in patterns take far longer than models initially indicate. It would not surprise me given recent history if we "lose" all of October before we see an actual pattern change.

Red Sox squared up a lot of rawhide tonight but couldn't find many holes nor did they get hits with men on base. Have to capitalize against a good team. Oh, and that dome and balls hitting things that baseballs shouldn't be hitting.

I don't even know what to say...

Got up to 76 about an hour ago, down to 75 now. Pretty nice early September day out there.

I like the way you think. No, sorry...not to me. I endorse this as well. (though because of training, I'm working from home far less right now)

Well...that's what comes to my mind.

What exactly is a nooner? My mind goes in one direction hearing that... Partly sunny and 74 here. Just back from a walk and the mosquitoes are still horrid.

I love to read AFD from other offices. Reno, Melbourne, and Taunton are some of my favorites. I'll have to check out the Phoenix office.

You can call it normal or above normal, one thing this week definitely has been is "more of the same" Several days in a row now where there has been only very insignificant changes in sky appearance, high temps and low temps.

Yep, this has not in any way been an "abnormal" October. I think that there's a perception that once we have our first legit cool spell that fall is here for good. Seems like every year we have "Indian Summer" (probably can't say that anymore) where temps reach the 70s after the first frost.

@Bubbler86perhaps this will be a repeat of 2013 with a mild October as well as some calling for an early start to winter?

69/63 here. October-like temps with early September-like dews.

That was my experience leaving work yesterday in Conestoga. Drove home north along the river, got on the north side of Chickies Hill and it was a different world. Bright with breaks in the clouds. Then, the fog/mist/drizzle rolled in at home about 2 hours later.