Itstrainingtime

Wait...you're at 37? I'm at 29.8

The arctic front was slower moving through, which means that the front won't move as far south as originally thought, which means the Saturday storm will end up much farther NW than modeled resulting in snow here. And that...is my all out weenie wishcast post of the year. Actually, it does look like the next storm is coming farther NW. Problem is, we needed a 600 mile adjustment, which is just a WEE bit much 36 hours out. LOL

Holy cow, what a beast on the GFS at day #9 - yeah, fantasy land an all of that, but if the pattern is going to break down as advertised, that would be the way to do it. If this verified - I'd call it a winter:

Just saw this - at my casa just down the road from Etown, same story. Moderately heavy snow and 31. Last year, you seemed to do much better than I did. I remember posts including pics of your snowy landscape while I was staring at my dead grass. Sure seems like things have switched this winter.

Just got into the office after a late night in Philly - 2 different worlds in a 12 mile drive. Home - snow, 31 degrees and everything is covered. Snow on snow in my back yard. Roads were a mess. Work - Snow/rain mix, wet roads, nothing to see here yet. In between - very little evidence of snow south of Chickies. Different world north of the hill.

It took a superlative effort from Joel for them to win. 50 points in 27 minutes. That's sick.

Remarkable difference- I'm at 38.4!

Paging @Atomixwx - yours truly will be in the house tonight for the 76ers-Magic tilt...

You said that a little more eloquently than I did above your post.

Problem is, with every model run the frontal boundary continues to press farther and farther south tonight. This results in wave going farther south, and if it keeps trending that way we might not see much of anything.

Weekend unfortunately is falling by the beachside. Yesterday, the LSV was in the bullseye for tomorrow. That has shifted south into northern MD. Still time for a bump north. More chances coming next week.

Haven't I seen that map recently?...

I've read from at least 5-6 mets that as the strength of Thursday morning's wave continues to increase, it in turn is having a negative impact on the weekend event. Hopefully the narrow ribbon of goods early Thursday jackpots our forum because if we're on the outside looking in with that wave, it might very well be 0-2 around here soon.

I really do as well. I'm very optimistic. Doesn't mean we'll get anything but I think we will.

Interesting question! A LOT of winter forecasts that I read from mets back in the fall said that this winter would be full of nickel and dimes and would be absent of bigger storms. This is what I've been expecting all along.

This is the best Americanwx reaction to a great Euro run I've ever seen:

My god, your analogy gets better and better!

Great analogy...both are in the house and neither are interested in actually playing.

Exactly!

EURO = 76ers. So much promise, so much reputation. So little reward.

Could very well be, but in a pattern like this we can't say 4 days out from any threat whether it'll be a hit or a miss. We didn't have tomorrow night on our radar until early yesterday.

37 here with rapidly dwindling white. My low overnight was only 32 though.

That's only after what is likely 3 chances for snow - tomorrow night (I didn't copy over his post about that), this weekend, and then next weekend. Let's get through 3 chances for snow and worry about February in...February.

I'll say this - the GFS has been on a roll this winter, but it's been largely dominated by northern stream energy. This weekend is mostly southern stream, which the GFS typically has had a SE bias. Also, the southern stream is the Euro's "strength." (this is from a met discussion I read this morning, this isn't my personal nonsense) Anyway, the GFS is incrementally getting closer - I still feel good that we'll get "something". Might not be the huge totals the Euro had yesterday but I think some snow is on the table.

See my post above - Elliott thinks we're getting snow this weekend. And perhaps an even bigger one to follow.