Itstrainingtime

I sort of agree with this, but there are exceptions... ...like March 1993 when I had 17" of snow and 6" of sleet. THAT was something that definitely happened.

PSUHoffman making a couple of very good points on why he's concerned that this next system will NOT come north - he's not saying it won't, but a couple of things that are happening now on models are giving him pause: 1) The SW is trending faster and thus less spacing out in front 2) The NS system over New England is trending stronger and south, which is flattening the flow and not allowing for ridging Just something to keep in mind - it is totally possible that we lose out to the DC crew once again.

Cape May might exceed our average annual snowfall in one week...

76ers are 7-8 at home this year: 5-1 when I'm not in the building. 2-7 when I'm there. I'm selling more and more of my tickets going forward.

I won't mince words, I bawled like a baby. No shame. It was an emotional night.

@sauss06 - did you watch the game last night? Why I wasn't there, I do not know.

Right...under us, but close enough that it gets us. If it digs too much and goes well south, there's nothing that will bring it back up until it's out over the Atlantic. I'd think a track across central VA would be ideal for the LSV at least.

Millersville's take: In the short term, I'm keeping a close eye on Thursday night/Friday as our best chance of receiving a meaningful, widespread snowfall. However, the disturbance of interest is still hundreds of miles off the coast of the Pacific Northwest, so taking a shot at predicting potential snowfall totals at this distance is a fool's errand! In fact, there's still a chance that we receive nothing more than a few flurries. The good news is that we likely won't have to deal with precipitation-type issues, so anything that does occur will be in the form of snow. At this point, my biggest concern is that the disturbance remains so weak and strung out that any meaningful snow stays to our south or doesn't even develop until it's "too late in the game" for the mid-Atlantic. What we do have going for us this time is that the ridge axis in the West is located very close to Boise, Idaho.. an ideal location for snowfall in southeastern PA. If you want several inches or more of snow, then you want the ridge axis to be stronger and more amplified than what's currently projected. In general, a more amplified ridge results in disturbances over the Ohio Valley and mid-Atlantic intensifying more rapidly. These disturbances also tend to "dig" more, allowing them to draw Gulf- and Atlantic-moisture northward into the colder air. Even if this does occur on Thursday night and Friday morning, the system will be moving along so quickly that anything more than a light-to-moderate snowfall is highly unlikely.

Understood - even if it's not a Miller B, the modeled precip shield takes on a Miller B appearance on a lot of the models.

17 this morning under mainly clear skies. All we need now is a white landscape...

Yuck, and a LSV precip "hole" along with it.

I hope we get snow soon for your sake.

Correct, and as Bubbler said - very GFS-like.

12k NAM has a "low" about 500 miles off of OBX. Nothing to really see on this run at all

That looks tasty.

UK was horrific last winter. Just awful. I'm riding the Euro/CMC combo and NOT because it shows snow over me.

How much did you get last December? Wasn't it like 27 inches?

I was going to say, I didn't see that either.

I've been focused on that all morning. LOL

Maybe, but Short Pump did not.

I guess I can respect that - doesn't bother me one bit. We do better then they do the vast majority of years. I love snow but will never begrudge others. I love the weather, all aspects of it, and I'm sort of geeking out at how awesome they're doing today. I'll temper my enthusiasm for the sake of others here...I guess I just roll a little differently than most.

Yes. And it's why I tacked on one extra day (today) just because...well, I could. And going back after 13 days off will be even harder than doing so after 12 days off. LOL

You said as much last night - exactly right. Good to file this in our memory banks...

Cold air is really drilling in here - temp continues to fall as we approach midday. I was at 30 at 6am, down to 27 now.

Nearly verifying blizzard conditions in a large area surrounding DC metro - many suburbs are around a foot or over with very strong winds blowing it around. Pictures down there...wow.