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Itstrainingtime

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Everything posted by Itstrainingtime

  1. Haven't looked but hear that the ICON is still delivering some snow for all of us.
  2. Only time I can recall a track that is MODELED and hasn't happened are tropical cyclones. Can't remember a winter storm with this extreme a track.
  3. Neither he nor I said that anything was "won" - I said that the NAM has won more than twice and that it never liked this storm, which is true. I'll read more and post less.
  4. By the way, the NAM has never liked this storm from the very beginning. Every model has been trending towards it.
  5. LOL - it might not be a good model but it's had a lot more wins than that.
  6. Kyle Elliott (MU) says the changeover to plain rain very well might make it to Watertown.
  7. Speaking of DT, Randy (Stormtracker) just posted his 2nd and a quarter call in the MA sub. It's worth a look.
  8. Someone with crayons said "Yeah...I don't really like Lancaster County..." Somehow, Wilmington DE does better than Lancaster...
  9. I mean...it's possible, especially if the WAA is weak sauce. If snow is going to confined to merely a couple/few hours before it flips, it better rip or it will end as much adieu about nothing.
  10. Honestly...truly...objectively... No. But, I do think it will be much closer than a lot people think. To win, I think they need to force 3 TO's at a minimum. If KC plays super sloppy...maybe.
  11. GFS also trying really hard to flip some us back over early Monday. That trend also seems to be gaining some legs.
  12. That will have me smiling for an hour prior to the debacle in KC.
  13. PSUHoffman also thought the NAM was an improvement from 12z.
  14. Agree 100%. I'm not expecting what the Euro's suggesting. Though, with each incremental pullback, by 12z Sunday it might be down to 1-2". My specific point was that for most of the week almost our entire area was in purples or pinks on those lovely snow maps. The pinks have shrunk while the purples keep retreating west with each new run. If you lived 150 miles inside of the purples it looks like the Euro is holding steady...but it really has not for those of us livin' on the edge.
  15. Euro has been pretty steady and it's the best we got right now. Even so, with each successive run it's peeling away the SE edge of the snowfall. I went from 8" 48 hours ago to less than 4" today. Not arguing so much as to say that when you're living on the edge you notice those changes. If you live west of I-81 it's steady as she goes perhaps.
  16. In light of your previous post, one might say we've been ambushed by Cowboys or something. LOL
  17. I think this storm is more longitude driven than our typical latitude storms. Further west is more important than north. At least down here in southern areas.
  18. If there's a ton of sleet that's included in snowfall measurements, correct? So, if someone gets 5" of snow followed by 2" of sleet in the central mountains, then the a Winter Storm Warning would have verified. Or do I have that wrong?
  19. That looks pretty good to me. I wonder if the 1-3" area should be farther west, but he's a great met for a reason. I'm just a dumb HR guy.
  20. Bubbler, that run you just posted would come super close to verifying Millville's map.
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