Neither he nor I said that anything was "won" - I said that the NAM has won more than twice and that it never liked this storm, which is true. I'll read more and post less.
I mean...it's possible, especially if the WAA is weak sauce. If snow is going to confined to merely a couple/few hours before it flips, it better rip or it will end as much adieu about nothing.
Honestly...truly...objectively...
No.
But, I do think it will be much closer than a lot people think. To win, I think they need to force 3 TO's at a minimum. If KC plays super sloppy...maybe.
Agree 100%. I'm not expecting what the Euro's suggesting. Though, with each incremental pullback, by 12z Sunday it might be down to 1-2".
My specific point was that for most of the week almost our entire area was in purples or pinks on those lovely snow maps. The pinks have shrunk while the purples keep retreating west with each new run. If you lived 150 miles inside of the purples it looks like the Euro is holding steady...but it really has not for those of us livin' on the edge.
Euro has been pretty steady and it's the best we got right now. Even so, with each successive run it's peeling away the SE edge of the snowfall. I went from 8" 48 hours ago to less than 4" today.
Not arguing so much as to say that when you're living on the edge you notice those changes. If you live west of I-81 it's steady as she goes perhaps.
I think this storm is more longitude driven than our typical latitude storms. Further west is more important than north. At least down here in southern areas.
If there's a ton of sleet that's included in snowfall measurements, correct? So, if someone gets 5" of snow followed by 2" of sleet in the central mountains, then the a Winter Storm Warning would have verified. Or do I have that wrong?