Itstrainingtime

Not only that, but now we're in danger of missing out on the front end goods as well. That is now confined to our south. Very discouraging. At least the DC crew is looking okay for a 2-4" type of deal on Friday, which I'd take right now in a second. Hoping that comes north some...but I don't know.

Mid atlantic thread arguing over who's doing PBP, but both that are doing it are saying it's bad.

This is 100% truth, and why I was saying yesterday that we need the purples on those snow maps to extend well west of us, or we're going to be on the outside looking in. My biggest discouragement this morning is that guidance has not moved the precip west, if anything most has ticked (or more than ticked) back east. Even the guidance that gets us has us right on the razor's edge. That likely spells fail. Having said that...it's Wednesday. It's complex. And it still could change.

This type of gradient is common for these storms: (and typically, the ground truth ends up about 50 miles east of what is showing on these maps)

You know how I feel about those colorful maps and all...but you gotta check out the NAM's snow map. NW tip of Lanco gets < 1" while the SE corner is approaching 10".

Kyle Elliott posted a fantastic discussion last evening on the weekend storm. Holy crap does that guy go into detail! It must take him an hour or two just to write his discussions. Anyway, it's too long to post here but I recommend checking it out here: https://www.millersville.edu/weathercenter/forecasts/weather-discussion.php

Funny you mentioned this, I got home last night around 11:30 and was reading the ESPN app while getting prepared for today. Right after I read about the goings-on in the Association last evening, I came on here and saw your post. Give the Clippers some props for not folding the tent, especially on the road.

I just saw that Kyle is comparing this to the boxing day storm. I literally said the same thing this morning. Right now he's thinking 1-3" locally.

Ji would always pull that out back in the day when it was the only model left that gave him what he wanted. LOL

Says the guy who's had snow the past 37 days in a row. Heading for South Philly soon!

Wait...are you saying that your hot air is a result of Trixie?

Need those purples to keep moving west.

12z Euro with a 3' snowstorm for OCMD.

LOL, I'm sorry...bad choice of wording on my part! "East is better" = living in the EASTERN part of PA will give us a better chance of getting snow from the coastal than areas west of us. Hopefully that makes more sense now.

Just a note that it's snowing outside the trainer's window right now. 35 degrees approaching the noon hour.

I'm tracking. I'm actually more fully invested than normal, but time is not kind to me posting much these days. One thing I'll add to the discussion - regarding the coastal, east is better than west. My caution; and this is being said to me as well as to the rest, is that we do NOT want to be on the western periphery of the snow maps. History has shown that riding the edge leads to heartache. For those of us east of the river, we'll want to see good snows extend well west of us to feel confident - again, this is specific to the coastal and pinning hopes with that. I do think that chances of some snow is becoming more likely regardless of that, though.

You nailed it. Very well stated...every word.

That map is painful - it looks almost EXACTLY like the Boxing day Blizzard in 2010. In fact, Lancaster was projected to get 3-6" from that storm, but most areas of the county were left with flurries while NYC's suburbs had over 30" of wind-driven snow. If someone has a map from that storm and can post it beside the image above...the similarities would be striking.

18z GFS's solution illustrates one of many things that can go wrong. Progressive...

Show off. Well, enjoy your slush in April while I'm working in my garden.

I didn't think we were supposed to see anything. It's mainly cloudy here, but the sky doesn't look like it did yesterday. (it doesn't look like snow)

Man I sure hope so, but it's Monday and there is a LOT that can go wrong with this setup. This is particularly fragile and could break a lot of weenie hearts. Trends today have been good but it's too early to say with any confidence that we're looking good.

Might want to rename it to someone else - actually, my storm is the one that produced snow at my casa... ...The casa that I rent on OBX. My storm was the one that slid off the southeast coast this past Friday night.

Good deal. Nada here. (Did pick up the lightest of dustings around 3pm)