Itstrainingtime

Light rain continues as my temp slowly oozes it's way towards freezing. 33.8 currently, 1.46" of rain. I see we have our first Flood Warning for the Swatara Creek. (Harpers Tavern area only)

Thanks for recognizing this... I mean that. Really easy to throw criticism in advance. But how often do people come back and give praise when they ended up being correct?

See, I live this every day. It's pretty remarkable how creative people have gotten these days with the reasons why they can't come to work. Privacy issues protect these types of things from being shared, but trust me - I get some doozies.

Update a few minutes ago from Elliott confirms what you said earlier: As expected, colder air is taking longer to filter into the Lower Susquehanna Valley. Temps. are still several degrees above freezing to the S/E of the I-81/78 corridors & near freezing farther N/W. I don't anticipate #icy roads to be an issue S/E of I-81/78 until after sunset.

.95" of rain yesterday, .47" since midnight for a storm total of 1.42". High yesterday was 56, now down to 34.3 currently.

15 miles down the road it's 56.

Also, .95" of rain so far. Winds are howling outside.

At 9:30pm it was 44 here. Now, it's 55 at 11:00pm.

An average season at Main Lodge (8900' elevation) is 206". They are at 203" for the season, so even with a shutout January and NO foreseeable end to the snow drought, they should go above normal since their season runs into May. I think the issue is that pretty much all of the 203" came in 20 days during the final half of December. If things don't turn around soon, they'll be closing months earlier than normal as the sunny, warm days are eroding the pack pretty quickly. Main Lodge is down to 60 something inches...at the start of 2022 it was 155". Point being, by the time traditional runoff season begins in the spring, what they have now will likely be gone. It is exceptionally rare to go 6 weeks at this time of year with zero snowfall. Forecasters out there say the next snow is at least 3 weeks away. That's bizarre.

For Mammoth Mountain in the eastern Sierra: January 2021: 108.5" January 2022: 0"

That's a point I wanted to make in my post and forgot. There's nothing simple about this forecast - it's not like it's a snow situation where the only thing to figure out is the amount of QPF and timing. This is extremely complex. Given that, perhaps they could have communicated a little more a little quicker. (which in fairness seems to be the gripe of some on here) I don't like it when people outside my area of expertise tell me how I should do my job. I in turn will not be critical of others. Just doesn't sit well with me.

Perhaps, but there's been plenty of slander in the past.

I'll just add this - does anyone have any idea how many times CTP has hoisted Winter Storm Warnings, Advisories, etc. only for them to end up not verifying? Me either. But I'll tell you it has happened a lot. People complain about why no advisory, why no warning, why no this or that...they've issued a ton of warnings over the years that failed. Remember that piece, too. A couple of years ago CTP had a Winter Storm Warning for Harrisburg for 8-10" of snow the morning of the storm. I thought they were ludicrous, but everyone else in here was happy. That afternoon they dropped it to an advisory for 2-4". People started blasting them. Then the snow started and some here were demanding that the warning got reissued. It didn't. MDT finished with 2.9" of snow. Advisory verified. Warning fell far short. Point is - with some people, they were wrong either way. They do their best. Personally, I think the criticism is often unfair and unwarranted. Go ahead. Tell me how wrong I am.

Very true...

I approve and agree of the entirety of your message except for the bolded - I'm hoping against hope for a nothing burger. I have a lot of traveling to do tomorrow and not looking forward to that stress whatsoever. Let it rain itself out and be done with it.

Rain and 39, .21" recorded so far. Sucks to be on this side of the boundary, but if it's going to rain. Let it rip. It's been a LONG time since we've had a soaker and I'm ready for the roads to get bathed.

Yes sir.

Just went out for a lunchtime walk around our campus. I'm a cold guy but it feels really good. After a month of lots of cold and little snow...yeah, this is something to look forward to in the coming weeks.

Temp spiked at home from 29 to 41 in 75 minutes.

I didn't look but from what I remember you posting, areas west of the river in general got a little warmer than areas farther east?

I posted that info with you in mind.

Early next week looks seasonal to perhaps a bit below. From midweek on much of the northern half of the U.S. is normal to above normal with colder weather shunted south:

You were a little cooler yesterday for sure - my station reached 40.6 for the high.

Bring it. Will be a pleasant drive east this afternoon in comfortable clothes.

27 when I left the historic district at 6:30am. 33 when I got to Columbia at 6:40am. 22 at 6:45am south of Washington Boro. 29 on top of the hill here at work.