Itstrainingtime

UK was horrific last winter. Just awful. I'm riding the Euro/CMC combo and NOT because it shows snow over me.

How much did you get last December? Wasn't it like 27 inches?

I was going to say, I didn't see that either.

I've been focused on that all morning. LOL

Maybe, but Short Pump did not.

I guess I can respect that - doesn't bother me one bit. We do better then they do the vast majority of years. I love snow but will never begrudge others. I love the weather, all aspects of it, and I'm sort of geeking out at how awesome they're doing today. I'll temper my enthusiasm for the sake of others here...I guess I just roll a little differently than most.

Yes. And it's why I tacked on one extra day (today) just because...well, I could. And going back after 13 days off will be even harder than doing so after 12 days off. LOL

You said as much last night - exactly right. Good to file this in our memory banks...

Cold air is really drilling in here - temp continues to fall as we approach midday. I was at 30 at 6am, down to 27 now.

Nearly verifying blizzard conditions in a large area surrounding DC metro - many suburbs are around a foot or over with very strong winds blowing it around. Pictures down there...wow.

3" in northwest Baltimore City, over 9" in Glen Burnie just south of the city. Baltimore has been reporting thundersnow over the past hour.

I'm very happy for them. Some areas in northern VA and southern MD are already approaching a foot.

Saw a report on WBAL in Baltimore of 6" on Tangier Island.

GFS with not much of anything cooking on Friday. Weak wave off the SE coast.

NAM a little more invested in the next threat than it was with this one.

Begrudgingly- congrats Eagles fans. Birds have strung together some nice wins lately. I'm jealous of the way your team can run the ball and control the line of scrimmage.

You sure have. I'm going (likely at this point) be disappointed tomorrow but appreciative for how often I've done very well at the expense of others. Disappointed? Yes. Bitter for me? Not at all.

Very unusual for it not to snow in Lanco with a low off the VA capes. Brutal cutoff that we're likely just on the wrong side of. I'm not one to deprive others, I hope the MA does very well.

NAM often struggles with thermals. LOL

39/33 here. 22 degree temp drop since 3:45pm.

Emphatically...no.

Time to channel our Al Michaels from Lake Placid in 1980 - "Do you believe in miracles..." (For those who are lost...Al Michaels famous call of the final seconds of Team USA upsetting the mighty Soviet hockey team in the Winter Olympics)

Yep...

Sorry for the convoluted post above, it's a series of 5 posts on why MU believes there will be NO snow accumulation north of the M/D line tomorrow. (start at the bottom post and read up)

MU Weather Center@MUweather Replying to @MUweather (5/5) What does this mean for us? Systems like this are notorious for having a tight snowfall gradient. 50 miles can separate a coating from double-digit totals. Accumulating snow is unlikely north of the Mason-Dixon line, with the highest totals just S/E of I-95. #MdWx #vawx 20m MU Weather Center@MUweather Replying to @MUweather (4/5) Lastly, snowfall is often heaviest where difluence is greatest in the mid-levels of the atmosphere. In the image below, this is indicated by the solid, black lines (geopotential height contours) spreading apart from one another in the outlined area. 21m MU Weather Center@MUweather Replying to @MUweather (3/5) This one's a bit technical, but the highest snowfall totals and best rates usually occur along and just north of the strongest mid-level frontogenesis/warm air advection (two more indicators of rising motion and precip). This is often where the "deformation band" sets up. 21m MU Weather Center@MUweather Replying to @MUweather (2/5) In the sounding just southeast of the I-95 corridor, the dry layer isn't present, meaning that snow's actually reaching the ground. Now, in the sounding below, strong upward motion co-located with the Dendritic Growth Zone (DGZ) is a great indicator of high snowfall rates.. 21m MU Weather Center@MUweather (1/5) Here's why it can be very misleading to look only at snowfall/precipitation output from models. A dry layer of air in the mid- and low-levels on the sounding near the Mason-Dixon line means that snowfall likely won't reach the ground (virga) despite the model suggesting it.