Itstrainingtime

CTP has removed sleet from my forecast other than a 20% chance before 8pm. All precip I do get is expected to be rain or freezing rain.

Not good. I'm now at 35/26. I could say more but won't. LOL

Thanks for posting both the temp and dewpoints - I'm at 34/24 at home right now. Have a hard time believing I drop much below freezing this evening. We'll find out soon enough.

There was never to be much of anything during the daylight hours. In fact, as recent as yesterday, some forecasts for today included sunshine. If anything, today has "overperformed"

I certainly can understand that.

I'd think you'd experience a pretty high impact event up there.

Back to my CTP comments last night - it's tough to make decisions today. I have a lot of single parents working here who are in a huge bind when schools are closed. I'm very sensitive to that. But, there's still a business to run, and we have a lot of institutions like hospitals, nursing homes, and schools that are depending on our delivery. It's not an easy balance.

My message I'm communicating here at work is "go slow" instead of "don't go".

32.2 at home, 33 here at work. Still don't think this will be much of a concern south of the PA Turnpike.

Roger is doing his very best to squash their excitement. (new role for Rog)

Yes sir.

Oh, I get it. Not arguing that at all. Flip side of that - say CTP issued a watch or warning tonight and tomorrow night is a nuisance event. Another reason for people to not pay attention to watches/warnings anyway. (which a lot of people already do ignore) The people that get bent on watches and warnings are the people reading this right now. My family has no clue what the difference between a watch and a warning is, and they're all adults.

Everyone making comments tonight are very good points. Frankly, they're hard to argue. And as @MAG5035 suggested, at least throw out blanket watches early to get the word out. The only word of caution I'll add is that we have been down the ice skating path many times over the years, and many of those events failed to deliver anything close to what models suggested. I'm guessing that's why the hesitancy on CTP's part. Sure, we can question them all we want, but if there is any type of verification grade assessed to forecasts - (I honestly don't know) I know I'd be very hesitant to make a decision until I had to. Goodness knows that I've been scrutinized plenty of times at work for pulling the trigger on some decisions and not pulling the trigger on others. It's not easy when you're in the hot seat.

3pm: 69 4pm: 67 5pm: 50 6pm: 44

That's actually a pretty profound and accurate statement. Many times in the past during similar situations the verification often failed to meet the criteria.

2pm temperature roundup:

It's 69.4 on the station...

I certainly don't want to speak in his place, but he has previously mentioned that he thought that wintry weather was over for the Lanco area other than some nuisance events. That might not have been his exact wording, but close. I thought it was a bold way to go, personally.

It'll be interesting to follow the strength of the airmass coming in - we're getting to the time of the year when actual temps often outperform the models. (especially on sunny days)

Maybe the guy from MU will be right again after all? He essentially called winter off for us folks a couple of weeks ago. (he's also referring to tomorrow night's event as the "final" winter event): This month may very well be remembered for the dramatic temperature rollercoaster ride that began on February 1 and will continue through February 28. We'll end up seeing high temperatures reach or exceed the 60-degree mark on 5 different occasions (including tomorrow), but have also experienced two days with highs in the upper 20s. To illustrate how dramatic the ups-and-downs have been, the high on President's Day (February 21) reached 64 degrees following a bitterly cold low of 16 on Sunday morning (February 20). Right now, we're still immersed in one of the "crests" on the rollercoaster, but the "dip" that's right around the corner (Thursday/Thursday night) may set the stage for one last wintry mess.

If anyone needs a tan to enhance one's appearance...it's me. LOL

66.2 at home. Kind of hoping we'd make a run at 70 will likely end up a little short.

Yeah...I'll be sending out some form of communication today to at least discuss potential impacts for workers tomorrow night and early Friday.

Even I'll admit that's a "bullish" map. (in a negative way) No impacts up to near Lewistown? Wow.